Originally Posted by
A and C
A German friend called home a week or so back and his family said that they think there is a great deal of under reporting in Germany, I know this is a bit anecdotal but a picture is starting to emerge.
Oh if it was only that simple.
At first they were underreporting significantly ... test capacity was low and only patients with known contact to confirmed cases were tested.
Then there was a phase of "honest" reporting because everyone with the slightest symptoms was beeing tested.
Followed by a phase of over reporting ... because they started screening people from the health sector, which led to infection rates beeing overestimated due to existing asymptomatic cases being discovered.
At the moment ... probably slight underestimation, light to moderate cases not being reliably diagnosed anymore.
Don't clinch to any numbers. Apply common sense.