Originally Posted by
davidjohnson6
Vokes - the positive test cases reported by the Department of Health do not include the number of people staying at home while coughing away. The question for Spain is whether 2,000 cases per day represents a very small tip or a large chunk of the iceberg. If 2,000 positive tests is accompanied by another 2,000 other cases which weren't identified, then it's still 1 person in 94 A320s - ie an acceptable risk. If the number of unidentified cases is significantly more, then Spain might want to be more cautious.
The other factor is the capacity of hospitals to deal with a local spike in Covid cases. I suspect that the likes of Madrid, Barcelona and Valencia could cope, but somewhere like Lanzarote or Mallorca which have modest year-round populations combined with a seasonal surge of mainly healthy people (people who are ill tend not to fly) who typically need just minor treatment (bumps, bruises, etc) could not, thus a greater need for caution
Given that everybody can get a test these days, the gap between the "confirmed" cases and the actual cases should be closing. 2000 confirmed cases today is going to mean significantly fewer actual cases than 2000 confirmed cases in April. In any form, these numbers are coming down and have another four weeks to come down further.
There seems to be a sense of British exceptionalism among some posts. The world no longer revolves around us.
British tourists make up the majority in a lot of resorts in Spain. Without the British, the industry suffers. Call it what you want, it's the truth.
The trouble is I haven't been able to find daily testing numbers for other European countries in order to judge how badly UK is actually doing by comparison. Does anyone here have access to that information I wonder.
As of yesterday, the UK has now done more tests than any other country in Europe, and is third in the world behind the USA and Russia. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ is a good source of information, including the all important deaths per million population figure, much to the annoyance of the sensationalist drama queens in this thread that can't see past the raw death figures.