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Old 9th May 2020, 11:29
  #6412 (permalink)  
VP959
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: West Wiltshire, UK
Age: 67
Posts: 390
Originally Posted by golder View Post
No, it starts at a transport hub, normally a major city. Then it spreads from there. The busier the hub, the sooner it started. We got our first case before the UK, go figure.
I agree, but it seems very clear from the data that the infection rate in densely populated areas is a great deal faster than it is in sparsely populated areas. This seems pretty obvious - wherever people are packed more closely together infection is likely to spread more rapidly. It's a principle that has been known since long before this pandemic, and applies to all infections diseases where the spread is from an airborne pathogen. It's such a well-established principle that we've been using it to reduce the spread of infectious disease since long before we had drugs and vaccination.
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