Originally Posted by
sheepless
Nothing will start regular flying until a vaccine is widely distributed. Minimum of 2 years. If we are lucky.
In this 2 year period Airbus and Boeing currently plan to deliver 2000 + aircraft.
This is not a 9/11 type event. No one will want a new aircraft for several years. No one will be able to afford a new aircraft.
:-)
That is about the most downbeat analysis of our situation yet. And that's saying something.
The reality is, as we starting to see in Italy and Spain, the population cannot be quarantined or isolated for 2 years. Life will have to get back to normal before that or we will see a complete breakdown of society.
I'm betting on a staged release of the restrictions over the next 6-9 months.