Originally Posted by
Cloud Cutter
. Catastrophic mechanical failures leading to this type of inflight break-up simply do not happen in modern transport aircraft. The odds of this happening at anytime, anywhere in the world are minimal.
A few months ago we'd have said the same about airplanes pointing themselves at the ground
I'd agree that the balance of probabilities points towards an explosive at this point, but something like SW1380 but worse is still a possibility.