PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Having a bone to pick with commercial aviation
Old 1st Apr 2019, 16:37
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alf5071h
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
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True, simplistically true, but founded on the hindsight of retirement and the previous 42 yrs.

Now what for the next 40 yrs, or even 4.

Unknown, unknowable, or just uncertain. Future risk is not probability & outcome; it is the number of uncertainties that the pilot will have to manage. Probability is an assumption that the future will be like the past, or the best guess. Outcome, unknowable, the fine division between death and a dent.

So perhaps we should reflect on the day job, how we have managed, and will continue to manage those uncertainties, and how we might reduce their number, providing this doesn’t introduce more uncertainty.

But that requires foresight.

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