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Old 19th Mar 2019, 08:50
  #2041 (permalink)  
safetypee
 
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The posts from FCeng84, #2018, Ethiopian airliner down in Africa
and Aloha KSA, #2022, Ethiopian airliner down in Africa
… … essential reading for everyone before considering posting to this or related threads - ‘sticky link’ mods?

FCeng adequately identifies the problems associated with ‘assumption’, but less so it’s association with, and the effects of hindsight.
The outcome of an event (success) does not change the risk of the decision before the event.
Similarly, outcome and assumption in piloting ability. Regulations might imply that there is ‘an average pilot’ (as I recall the wording - ‘without exceptional skill or force’), the danger is if the industry judges or classifies people in a mathematical or mechanical manner; we are not machines, computers, but variable and fallible individuals.

Aloha, et al,
An increasing difficulty in modern aviation is how experience is to be gained, communicated, and heeded by everyone. What might have been true for earlier versions of the aircraft and operational environment in the widest sense, is no longer so.
Differences training is only forward looking; design and regulation must look over back and consider the history, if not then history will ‘find all of us out’.
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