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Old 17th Mar 2019, 22:13
  #1818 (permalink)  
edmundronald
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
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Seattle Roulette.

Seattle Times indicates that the AoAsystem is designed for a 1/100 000 failure rate, which I expect means 1 per 1 e10**5 hours.
There are 350 of the Max flying as of now maybe 10 hours a day, ie 35 000 hours a day.
So one MCAS incident due to a bad sensor can be expected every few days. Exactly what we've been seeing so far.
Seatlle Roulette?

Even if the AoA design study had been made for 1 in 10 Million hours, as it should have been for certification, with the full fleet of 5000 of these flying cows, you would have 50 000 hours a day, and several incidents a year, a hull loss could be expected every few years..

Edmund
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