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Old 15th Mar 2019, 09:01
  #14 (permalink)  
josephfeatherweight
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
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With no data to hand, just casual observation, I would agree that the relative accuracy of BoM forecasting has declined of late. Certainly I've noticed the "basics" such as forecast maximum temperature have been somewhat "off", particularly in the Melbourne region over the last six months. I was once told by a forecaster in Perth that when the max temp forecast was out by x degrees (I think it was 5 degrees), then it was a "huge deal" at the Bureau - "heads would roll" and much embarrassment would ensue. At a recent CASA Flight Safety seminar, a BoM forecaster gave a presentation about some new weather charts. During the break I mentioned the previous day's weather exceeding the forecast max temp for Melbourne by 6 degrees - she seemed quite unfussed by what I had been led to believe was a big deal for a forecaster.
This is all hearsay and speculation - I've got no recorded data, just my fuzzy memory...
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