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Horizon Air cutting hundreds of flights due to pilot shortage

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Horizon Air cutting hundreds of flights due to pilot shortage

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Old 3rd Jul 2017, 12:19
  #21 (permalink)  
 
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Poor Planning

How hard is it to plan pilot recruitment. It is easy, You have the whole fall and winter to do it when the summer program is out for the next year.
I used to do this, mind you in a small company. Book all the simulator you need and add 20%. Then cancel any sessions not needed 3 months before ( no pay).

Anyway, management are trying to dispatch a flight without the ONLY personnel that is a no-go item.Sweet.

How can ANYONE be so incompetent.? It is a crime, any AOC states clearly the company SHALL have sufficient, qualified personnel to execute the operation!

No pilots, no airline.
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Old 3rd Jul 2017, 13:20
  #22 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Havingwings4ever
It is just a matter of time, real shortage will become a major issue all across the world, no matter how the economies develop.
See this interesting study by CAE that was just released;

http://www.cae.com/uploadedFiles/Con...ook-Spread.pdf
I'd be careful with anything CAE come out with. Their priority is to fill as many classroom seats as possible with the bums of £100,000 fee paying student pilots.
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Old 3rd Jul 2017, 13:27
  #23 (permalink)  
 
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Arithmetic is quite an exact procedure. There is not much new about training. XX a/c, short haul, require Y crews per a/c. That's easy. Y crews require Z trainers mixed with SFI/TRI/TRE. To achieve that for Y crews you need A simulators. If you order B a/c to be delivered over the next 5 years it will create an expansion of B a/c to bring ther total to XX + B - any sales. Each year a % of B a/c will arrive. In advance you need to train a known number of crews. Therefore in advance you need an increase in trainers & simulators. Inherent in those calculations you'll need to factor in a captain upgrade program. Included will also be the number of retirees (known number) and those leaving, often 10% loss.

It's been that way for decades. I was associated with an airline who had a very aggressive order book, but did not increase their training dept' and sim availability at the same time. They lagged behind. The left & right hand did not seem to be connected; either that or delaying the increase in trainers and upgrading captains was seen as a cost saving until the last minute. But then you start cancelling flights, or you try & delay deliveries. Either way the forward planning bloke/committee was not up to it. The overall oversight rests with CEO.
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Old 3rd Jul 2017, 18:21
  #24 (permalink)  
 
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I don't feel sorry for the woes of any regional airline, decades of poor T&Cs, horrible work rules are now coming home to roost...karma is a bitch...and theirs has arrived
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