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Search: Posts Made By: Dobbo_Dobbo
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14th Sep 2017, 18:59
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

I think that hits the nail on the head. ...

I think that hits the nail on the head.

What I would say is that UA80 is the only *A route into UA's USA network from MAN (they don't allow ex MAN connections on SQ). That's obviously not to...
13th Sep 2017, 22:41
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Agreed that realism is required. However I...

Agreed that realism is required.

However I should point out that (based on the numbers) UA tend to be counter seasonal at MAN for some reason. Take January 2017 for example - 9,461 (91.4% lf)....
13th Sep 2017, 21:15
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Apologies if I wasn't clear - not suggesting ...

Apologies if I wasn't clear - not suggesting UA80 to get pulled. Just speculating how much longer their B752 has on TATL routes.

Not sure if UA are buying the A321LR, if not I'd expect the...
13th Sep 2017, 19:33
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

I do wonder how much longer the B752s will last...

I do wonder how much longer the B752s will last so perhaps this could be due for an upgague.
6th Sep 2017, 09:05
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Hi Roverman Ian C is right. Scoot would...

Hi Roverman

Ian C is right.

Scoot would "compete" with SQ for one stop traffic MAN-SIN in the same way as the MEB4 and EU4 can offer one stop fares. In that respect, nothing has really changed....
2nd Sep 2017, 09:49
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

I'd say so, from a combination of: 1 -...

I'd say so, from a combination of:

1 - increased loads factors;
2 - larger aircraft;
3 - increased use of away based aircraft;
4 - increased use of off peak flying.
1st Sep 2017, 18:13
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Seems the MAN-YYZ market isn't quite right for...

Seems the MAN-YYZ market isn't quite right for mainline. Frustrating, because the route carried 105,480 passengers last year (Rouge and Transat), and AC launched Montreal-Tokyo off the back of...
23rd Aug 2017, 22:31
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Point taken, but don't VS have an end of summer...

Point taken, but don't VS have an end of summer sale on at the moment?
23rd Aug 2017, 08:28
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Thats not the quote I've seen (taken from the...

Thats not the quote I've seen (taken from the FT):

“It is central government’s responsibility to provide funding and a delivery structure that ensures efficiency, value for money and...
20th Aug 2017, 20:59
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

SQ love their one stoppers. I suspect this...

SQ love their one stoppers.

I suspect this is in the context of SFO, LAX and New York. I think they will try to remove the one stop routes to LAX/SFO, whether they continue JFK when non stop EWR...
19th Aug 2017, 19:35
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

I don't think this is an unreasonable...

I don't think this is an unreasonable interpretation, but I don't think it's accurate.

Delta "leaving" the market to VS was about expansion. More capacity to JFK and new routes to BOS/SFO. It...
18th Aug 2017, 23:05
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Good point, and that may come to pass. My...

Good point, and that may come to pass.

My view is that, in the long run the size of the respective markets will lead BA/IAG to persevere with MAN-JFK. I don't think they can do that effectively...
18th Aug 2017, 11:04
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Turtle Controller In the short term, I agree...

Turtle Controller

In the short term, I agree with you.

In the long term, I think you've answered your own question.

As you say, anything can happen including entities like TCX being brought...
18th Aug 2017, 09:15
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

I think it will be difficult for Norwegian to...

I think it will be difficult for Norwegian to displace TCX from their position at MAN. It is obviously not impossible, but there is no obvious "extra" or material price discount that Norwegian can...
17th Aug 2017, 15:33
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

MAN's strength has been its diverse portfolio of...

MAN's strength has been its diverse portfolio of airlines. I love all that TCX have been doing and to be clear I am not "blaming" them at all.

AA clearly have certain issues at JFK and TCX have...
17th Aug 2017, 09:03
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

AA and the JFK/NYC Market

There is no point treating this as anything other than a disappointment.

Yes, AA's transfer traffic can route via PHL and ORD (which is fine, and should help those routes).

However, the...
14th Aug 2017, 10:50
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

July 2017 High Level Numbers

Passengers:

Monthly total: 3,031,844
Rolling 12 month: 27,231,037
Percentage change: +7.4%

Cargo:

Monthly total: 12,069 tonnes
Percentage change: +20.6%
4th Aug 2017, 13:33
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

As well as IAH?!!! One things for sure, MAN...

As well as IAH?!!!

One things for sure, MAN is proving itself as a good transit stop. Long may it continue.
4th Aug 2017, 13:32
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

The advantage should always be with the hub based...

The advantage should always be with the hub based airlines because they have access to onward connections.

I.e. It is much better for SQ to operate MAN-SIN than TCX/VS because SQ can carry a huge...
4th Aug 2017, 09:19
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Good point Skipness, my view on the MEB3/4 is a...

Good point Skipness, my view on the MEB3/4 is a bit chicken and egg. They are very good at providing tangible proof that a certain market exists, but they also act to stifle direct services.

As...
3rd Aug 2017, 22:20
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

This is correct. There are also figures for...

This is correct.

There are also figures for cargo. Both cargo (measured by weight) and passenger numbers have doubled since the route has gone via MAN.
3rd Aug 2017, 13:27
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

It certainly is. When you think MAN had no...

It certainly is.

When you think MAN had no non-stop service to the Far East a few short years ago, to get close to 21 weekly (and with the possibility of more to come) is phenomenal.

Makes you...
3rd Aug 2017, 10:48
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

One Roverman and one or two others might find...

One Roverman and one or two others might find interesting.

I hadn't realised until recently that IAH publish figures that can be used to assess the overall loads on SQ51/52.

There is a slight...
31st Jul 2017, 08:14
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

The issue VS/DL, AA/BA, UA have is TCX. ...

The issue VS/DL, AA/BA, UA have is TCX.

They cannot pull out and expect to funnel their passengers via LHR/AMS/CDG/FRA.

If they pull out, they know they are likely to loose a large chunk of...
28th Jul 2017, 11:47
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Yes - that's the one. China Southern.

Yes - that's the one. China Southern.
28th Jul 2017, 11:21
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

VS future at MAN

Hi All

In light of yesterday's announcement that the DL/VS transatlantic JV would become a global one and also incorporate AF/KL/MU, I was wondering whether anyone had a view on how this new...
20th Jul 2017, 10:54
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

From what I've seen those super cheap tickets...

From what I've seen those super cheap tickets have largely dried up - they are more in the £500-£600 range for a return fare on a reasonably advanced booking.
19th Jul 2017, 20:55
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

I understand the MAN-IAH sector is above...

I understand the MAN-IAH sector is above expectations and have it on good authority that MAN-SIN is good for standalone if required.
19th Jul 2017, 11:05
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Frankly, as TCX focus on TATL which is seasonal...

Frankly, as TCX focus on TATL which is seasonal from MAN, I am surprised they do not redeploy capacity on winter seasonal routes like Cape Town...
10th Jul 2017, 16:54
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Manchester - Amsterdam and Paris flows of people...

Manchester - Amsterdam and Paris flows of people will almost all be by air. Much of this will be O&D traffic ex MAN, although a fair chunk of it will be connnecting. Probably a much lower %age than...
5th Jul 2017, 20:41
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Here here.

Here here.
3rd Jul 2017, 20:30
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

I don't think there is any point getting pent up...

I don't think there is any point getting pent up about the volume of services from LHR. It is the primary hub for the U.K. and for London, which is one of the two primary cities on the planet. The...
30th Jun 2017, 22:19
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Hi Roverman From what I've seen and heard,...

Hi Roverman

From what I've seen and heard, my understanding is that "scenario 6" would be progressed with flexibility to 2020 to consider "scenario 5".

That seems to follow your explanation,...
30th Jun 2017, 12:17
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

Call for direct India flight

From MIDAS, reported in the MEN.

http://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/business/business-news/businesses-back-direct-flight-india--13262781
30th Jun 2017, 11:24
Replies: 8,557
Views: 4,014,341
Posted By Dobbo_Dobbo

This is OT, but if a relocation it's a case of...

This is OT, but if a relocation it's a case of "as you were". This may increase headcount, but while U.K. airport connectivity is predominately in the south east Microsofts UK HQ will (quite rightly...
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