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Search: Posts Made By: .Scott
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Forum: Tech Log
5th Oct 2017, 13:08
Replies: 102
Views: 44,857
Posted By .Scott

It depends on how small a sample Japan is...

It depends on how small a sample Japan is compared to all of aviation. Statistically, you determine the "confidence interval" by asking how well the data matches given the "null hypothesis". In...
Forum: Tech Log
3rd Oct 2017, 13:18
Replies: 102
Views: 44,857
Posted By .Scott

The photo I showed is from the one you linked to....

The photo I showed is from the one you linked to. I just rotated it to its upright position and cropped it to view that top edge.

To compare hole sizes, notice how much foliage and brick shows...
Forum: Tech Log
29th Sep 2017, 12:33
Replies: 102
Views: 44,857
Posted By .Scott

From the somewhat-fuzzy photo I showed earlier in...

From the somewhat-fuzzy photo I showed earlier in this thread, it looks as though the head of the top left screw simply pulled through the panel - causing the hole to become enlarged. The next hole...
Forum: Tech Log
28th Sep 2017, 13:00
Replies: 102
Views: 44,857
Posted By .Scott

It depends on what it hits and where it ends up. ...

It depends on what it hits and where it ends up.
At least there aren't any more SSTs to take out. In that case, it was a wear strip that had fallen from a Continental flight.
Forum: Tech Log
28th Sep 2017, 12:58
Replies: 102
Views: 44,857
Posted By .Scott

http://www.sbowden.org/misc/twilight-with-screwdri...

http://www.sbowden.org/misc/twilight-with-screwdriver.jpg
Forum: Tech Log
28th Sep 2017, 11:11
Replies: 102
Views: 44,857
Posted By .Scott

Well that certainly matches what we see in the...

Well that certainly matches what we see in the photo.
However, I wouldn't expect the conversation to end with everyone accepting the notion that a panel falling off a plane is to be expected.
Forum: Tech Log
27th Sep 2017, 11:27
Replies: 102
Views: 44,857
Posted By .Scott

I think we need to extend the discussion at least...

I think we need to extend the discussion at least to the point where we understand your report.
So far, all you have said is that there is bracket that commonly fails. Presumably one that is...
Forum: Tech Log
25th Sep 2017, 18:47
Replies: 102
Views: 44,857
Posted By .Scott

I don't know. If I was told that I just lost 5...

I don't know. If I was told that I just lost 5 square feet of my fuselage paneling, I would worry about what else was left undone.
Forum: Tech Log
25th Sep 2017, 18:27
Replies: 102
Views: 44,857
Posted By .Scott

If you look at this top row of holes and number...

If you look at this top row of holes and number them from left to right 1 through 7, then the first two holes (1 and 2) look a bigger than the others.
...
Forum: Tech Log
25th Sep 2017, 11:23
Replies: 102
Views: 44,857
Posted By .Scott

I'm not so sure about that. The screws are...

I'm not so sure about that. The screws are missing. And there is one hole in the light blue area that looks damaged - the one that would be at the top left on the plane, top right in the photo. I...
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