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10th Nov 2015, 17:13
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

look at pivot point

Dear friends!

If jackscrew was suddenly disconnected, then HS would have just followed wind direction. Meaning HS became neutral and useless.
It would have initiated immediate nose dive.

More...
10th Nov 2015, 16:12
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

ACT

So there must have been at least one ACT tank.

If it ruptured at initial event and spilled fuel and vapors into cabin, it is a good explanation why only backward seats were scorched.
Pieces...
10th Nov 2015, 09:54
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

HS & VS break off first?

It is highly unlikely that VS and HS were broken off first by aerodynamic forces. - trailing edges of VS and HS. T
Technically it is impossible while wings are still attached to the plane and...
10th Nov 2015, 06:43
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

aloha analogy

I was thinking about the same. Aloha's initial event that caused shedding of all cabin skin started from roof and progressed rear and downwards until stopped by stronger fuselage-floor...
9th Nov 2015, 23:42
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

few speculations

Here is one example of a small piece of fuselage that was peeled off during a break up process. Peeling continued rearwards until structure was weak enough to break apart close to wings, not close to...
9th Nov 2015, 17:33
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

scratches on fin

Thanks for doing reconstruction image of tail fin. I had something like that in my mind.
these vertical scratches were not present before crash. And they must have happened in flight.
They are...
9th Nov 2015, 14:10
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

Lef hand engine

If there was a large uncontained LH engine compressor failure, all the compressor parts flown out at high speeds and fan separated at the event, then it would be difficult to explain sooting and...
9th Nov 2015, 08:10
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

There isn't any pictures showing underside of...

There isn't any pictures showing underside of rear fuselage. But this kind of sooting is not normal for sure.
It points to a fire after initial event and for quite some time. It means that after...
8th Nov 2015, 15:04
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

bomb or not

I would suggest you to read TWA800 final report. The way all kind of theories were excluded.
It is not that you something "obvious" and jump to immediate conclusions and exclude all other theories....
8th Nov 2015, 05:52
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

Breakup sequence

I wont repeat my earlier description of failjre sequence. Which i did backwards on facts we know. I just continue.

It is not exactly known when and why engines became separated. But at least left...
7th Nov 2015, 22:25
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

Breakup sequence

I start it backwards.

Forward part fell to ground tail first upside down. That is due to aerodynamics and gravity center.
Before ground impact there was a fire underside between wings. Left...
7th Nov 2015, 20:05
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

Fr24 fdr data

Flightradar data shows thar flight became unstable at 4:12:58 and last data was at 4:13:22

How comes there is nothing on fdr? Someone is lieing?
How fdr time is synced?
flightradar time is...
6th Nov 2015, 09:23
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

real armchair detectives

Eternal NYC writes:



So you think we are wasting time here, and we should jump to "obvious" conclusions?
Do you remember how "obvious" it was for TWA800 that it was hit by rocket?
Instead it...
6th Nov 2015, 08:50
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

russian commentary

Nothing much interesting said.
Complained about hot climate, looting of valuables, and passengers phone found. Also egyptian military and authorities to be cooperative.
5th Nov 2015, 23:18
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

FR24 data

A0283,


I was going through FR24 data once again. Look here:
Crash of Metrojet Flight 7K9268 | Flightradar24 Blog (http://www.flightradar24.com/blog/crash-of-metrojet-flight-7k9268/)

It looks...
5th Nov 2015, 21:46
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

when exactly FDR stops

It would be interesting to know when exactly FDR stops on known flightpath. Before the events FR24 recorded? Exactly at that time?
5th Nov 2015, 21:30
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

first pieces

Then, there must be at least some pieces of aircraft close to toddler. What pieces? from where?
5th Nov 2015, 21:18
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

FDR battery backup

Kulverstukas,


To my knowledge there is no battery backup for CVR or FDR.
It is a long debated issue. Power gone - recording stops.
In most cases it means that for pilots there is nothing...
5th Nov 2015, 20:12
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

tail

thats bad. It will be much harder to solve that mytery.

At least we know connection to FDR was severed with initial event.

Do we know where exactly power cables to FDR run? on the right side?...
5th Nov 2015, 19:28
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

3rd door left

Kulverstukas, this picture is of 3L. Little furter down is lieing that large piece from right side.

There is a picture of pieces we have seen and their approximate location from plane.

It makes...
5th Nov 2015, 14:50
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

fuel ignition at 0,2 at pressure and -42C

It is true that fuel is so difficult to ignite at altitude. Even in engines. But it is not impossible. You need enough initial energy(heat) and reduced airflow to sustain flame. Though I have read...
5th Nov 2015, 10:48
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

hole on right side

Kulverstukas, it looks like projectile originated from cargo bay.

BUT! inner part of edges aren't covered with soot. That puncture thus did not happen before impacting ground?
5th Nov 2015, 05:25
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

RPB

Well, this image shows no gaping hole either. This area should have been relatively clean of surrounding insulating material and small debris. But never mind this.

Most importantly HS would never...
4th Nov 2015, 23:48
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

seats

I don't mean soot. It could be darkening from heat. You could see that seats where passengers were seated are burned less.
If it was soot or dust you probably would see marks from touching these...
4th Nov 2015, 23:36
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

RPB quetion

First of all, there is no visible damage around RPB. No peeling. I think you have seen plenty of images of tail section.

Then one HS was found broken off just outside of the fuselage. RPB...
4th Nov 2015, 23:17
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

seat burned

I wonder if these seats show burn marks?

http://www.keri.ee/crash/kreslo.png
4th Nov 2015, 23:01
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

why initial event happened on the left side (speculation)

I owe explanation to Kulverstukas on what basis I speculated that initial event happened on left side. To be more exact, close to fuel tank and at the floor level. Behind wings.

1. Rear seated...
4th Nov 2015, 19:24
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

which side engine

This is left side engine. you are watching at inner side of the pylon.
...
4th Nov 2015, 18:49
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

what we know

yes Kulvertukas, having been watching pictures and reading for hours and hours bulkhead failure could not cause such events we already know, and I suspect that RPB is still in place.
There is a very...
4th Nov 2015, 17:00
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

tail structure

At least half of the tail structure looks intact. Lower half... who knows. may be flattened by impact with ground, maybe destroyed in HS separation event.
http://www.keri.ee/crash/tail_back.jpg
4th Nov 2015, 13:11
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

engine blast

If it really was an engine blast, I would suspect left hand engine.
4th Nov 2015, 12:34
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

Scuba tanks

Scuba tanks are heavy. average Scuba tank would weight around 20kg. But regarding Sharm el Sheik diving business, it is much cheaper to rent them locally for average diver.
Technical divers might...
3rd Nov 2015, 22:38
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

air data on ADS-B

ADS-B transmits Baro altitude - flight level. It also transmit GPS altitude - geometric altitude, but it is not used.
There are two antennas. one is on the roof and other is on the belly.
GPS...
3rd Nov 2015, 21:38
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

FR24 Data

Digital data can not be spurious. There is a data integrity check to avoid garbage transmissions.

These are actual sensor readings in FR24. But the question is what caused sensors to give such...
3rd Nov 2015, 21:25
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,087
Posted By Prada

almost half of missing rear right side fuselage

In the Life News video that Kulvertukas posted, there was also a large part of missing fuselage visible. On the video a cargo bay under floor structure is visible and more than half of ceiling of the...
Showing results 1 to 35 of 48
 


 
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