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Search: Posts Made By: andrasz
Showing results 1 to 35 of 63
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Forum: Rumours & News
10th Nov 2015, 04:48
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@ CONSO Yes of course, an explosion will...

@ CONSO

Yes of course, an explosion will produce the results we are seeing. I'd be more interested if anyone is able to explain what we see in the rear fuselage with only a structural failure,...
Forum: Rumours & News
10th Nov 2015, 04:06
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

The thread seems to be going round and round in...

The thread seems to be going round and round in circles again.

@ everyone discussing a possible control surface failure

Please try to explain how such a failure could have brought about the...
Forum: Rumours & News
9th Nov 2015, 15:41
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

I do recall that the discussion following PAF101...

I do recall that the discussion following PAF101 have settled on essentially the same conclusions within 2-3 days as were confirmed by the accident report a year later, to a large extent attributable...
Forum: Rumours & News
9th Nov 2015, 11:07
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@ Bertie The logic is not entirely...

@ Bertie


The logic is not entirely flawed, but there are two things firmly against it:


The slots in the fuselage side conform to allowed HS up (max 5 deg) and down (12 deg) movements, and...
Forum: Rumours & News
9th Nov 2015, 01:13
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@ Blake777 Many thanks, that is indeed the...

@ Blake777

Many thanks, that is indeed the first picture we have of the Right HS. On superficial look it seems to have failed the same way as the left one, and there is no sign of the central...
Forum: Rumours & News
9th Nov 2015, 00:11
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

I certainly did... :O At least this...

I certainly did... :O

At least this confirms what several learned posters suggested that it would be impossible for the HS to fail the way I suggested.
Forum: Rumours & News
9th Nov 2015, 00:00
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

There seems to be a total confusion about...

There seems to be a total confusion about security procedures at Egyptian airports. In order to GET IN TO THE TERMINAL you need to stand in a long queue, at the end of which a regular (possibly...
Forum: Rumours & News
8th Nov 2015, 18:09
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

Gave me second thoughts at first, but just spent...

Gave me second thoughts at first, but just spent a couple of minutes comparing the two photos, they are definitely the same, just a trick is played by the camera angle.

The triangular bit (1) is...
Forum: Rumours & News
8th Nov 2015, 17:50
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

Yes, it is the same one we have already seen,...

Yes, it is the same one we have already seen, just a new angle.
Forum: Rumours & News
8th Nov 2015, 17:17
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@ Leightman 957 That is the LEFT HS and we...

@ Leightman 957

That is the LEFT HS and we are seeing the top surface. The damage is to the trailing edge, probably caused by elevator flutter. But yes, it could have contributed to the weakening...
Forum: Rumours & News
8th Nov 2015, 12:28
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@ slats11 Anyone with basic understanding...

@ slats11

Anyone with basic understanding of the dynamics and effects of an explosion at 31 thousand feet at 400 knots would and should instantly recognise that the video cannot show this...
Forum: Rumours & News
8th Nov 2015, 08:39
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

Before we all jump on the bandwagon, that...

Before we all jump on the bandwagon, that "increased chatter" could have gone something like this:


- Congrats, brothers, the Caliph sends his blessings.
- That's nice, for what ?
- The plane...
Forum: Rumours & News
8th Nov 2015, 05:26
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@ CONSO I do not see how b) would be...

@ CONSO

I do not see how b) would be possible. The movement of the HS is physically limited by the slots on both sides of the fuselage, which do not permit travel beyond permissible range, even...
Forum: Rumours & News
8th Nov 2015, 03:50
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@ CONSO Your logic certainly requires some...

@ CONSO

Your logic certainly requires some deeper thought. I would start with the left HS which was cleanly snapped off by an upward bending force at the weak point in the structure where the...
Forum: Rumours & News
8th Nov 2015, 02:10
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

My last post until meaningful new information...

My last post until meaningful new information comes up:

There are a number of theories circulating from knowledgeable posters which miss some demonstrated facts. I know the thread is becoming...
Forum: Rumours & News
7th Nov 2015, 13:18
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@ ettore Amen to that.

@ ettore

Amen to that.
Forum: Rumours & News
7th Nov 2015, 12:11
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@ GroundSpanner With that qualification, I...

@ GroundSpanner

With that qualification, I agree. I have dealt directly with some of those shady characters. My favorite one was the guy who, on being confronted with the query that I've heard...
Forum: Rumours & News
7th Nov 2015, 10:56
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

Many thanks, that's about the most relevant piece...

Many thanks, that's about the most relevant piece of firm new information to surface in the past 2-3 days. Clearly C/N 663 had an ACT fitted, that would much better explain the in-flight fire despite...
Forum: Rumours & News
7th Nov 2015, 10:46
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@GroundedSpanner Very clearly you have...

@GroundedSpanner

Very clearly you have never ever dealt with ILFC. I have.

If anyone, THEY are in the aircraft business, more so than many of the airlines. The A330 design owes its final...
Forum: Rumours & News
7th Nov 2015, 07:48
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

It is unlikely that the difference between the...

It is unlikely that the difference between the two would be measurable in anything but milliseconds. Also the cables to the recorders run to my best knowledge along the underside of the cabin floor,...
Forum: Rumours & News
7th Nov 2015, 05:19
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@ To everyone drawing conclusions from the CVR ...

@ To everyone drawing conclusions from the CVR

Yesterday it was stated that the CVR (which appears relatively unscratched on the photos) is 'damaged' and 'will need additional work' to read out...
Forum: Rumours & News
7th Nov 2015, 05:12
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@wonkazoo Your post...

@wonkazoo


Your post (http://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/569907-breaking-news-airliner-missing-within-egyptian-fir-75.html#post9172441) is one of the more enlightened and informative ones on...
Forum: Rumours & News
6th Nov 2015, 16:42
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@AVR4000 On the first (and only) video...

@AVR4000

On the first (and only) video screencap we have of the left HS it is very clearly visible that the upper composite skin failed after it was bent up 90 degrees against the fuselage. If...
Forum: Rumours & News
6th Nov 2015, 15:38
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@SimplyTB Call me cynical, but I have had...

@SimplyTB

Call me cynical, but I have had some (unintentional) insights into how government works. As Sir Humphrey once famously said it, never believe anything the government says unless it is...
Forum: Rumours & News
6th Nov 2015, 15:16
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

There are many things that don't add up or...

There are many things that don't add up or outright contradictory. For example everyone takes it for granted that the bodies in the back were 'burnt', just because an unverified source says so. With...
Forum: Rumours & News
6th Nov 2015, 13:04
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

This kind of compacted gravel desert terrain is...

This kind of compacted gravel desert terrain is very firm, driving over it feels like being on asphalt. Below the top 1-2 cm loose gravel the substrate consists of mud consolidated gravel, almost as...
Forum: Rumours & News
5th Nov 2015, 17:26
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

It is very likely she was in the rear toilet. The...

It is very likely she was in the rear toilet. The first thing you do with a ten month old toddler after the ordeal of check-in, security, boarding and take-off is to go change the nappies as soon as...
Forum: Rumours & News
5th Nov 2015, 16:17
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@Kulver That is the rear tip of the tailcone...

@Kulver
That is the rear tip of the tailcone with the APU exhaust hole and the rear anti-collision light. This photo already surfaced on several news sites 3 days ago.
Forum: Rumours & News
5th Nov 2015, 14:39
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

@ oleostrut You mean the jackscrew is the...

@ oleostrut

You mean the jackscrew is the elongated part that (visually) seems to connect the slanted piece protruding from he shredded VS trailing edge and the upper centre of the last frame ?
Forum: Rumours & News
4th Nov 2015, 16:16
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

I'm sure the airbus 'advisors' are doing exactly...

I'm sure the airbus 'advisors' are doing exactly that, with some anxiety.
Forum: Rumours & News
4th Nov 2015, 16:14
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

Please, at least let's try to quote correctly....

Please, at least let's try to quote correctly. BBC says:

"All flights due to leave the holiday resort for Britain this evening have been delayed to allow a team of UK experts to assess security"...
Forum: Rumours & News
4th Nov 2015, 13:59
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

There is a telling photo above (the 3rd, showing...

There is a telling photo above (the 3rd, showing the engine). The Engine pylon is bent upwards. That component is strong enough to support half the weight of the plane without deformation if a...
Forum: Rumours & News
4th Nov 2015, 11:59
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

Before we dwell too much on the absence of cargo...

Before we dwell too much on the absence of cargo manifest, a gentle reminder. This was a holiday charter flight, normally such flights are not permitted to carry commercial cargo, so the cargo...
Forum: Rumours & News
4th Nov 2015, 11:44
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

I would treat all reports of that "heat flash"...

I would treat all reports of that "heat flash" with caution. It was reported, then denied, then reported to be something else not the aircraft. Until it is confirmed by an official US/RU source, I...
Forum: Rumours & News
4th Nov 2015, 08:52
Replies: 2,082
Views: 2,497,010
Posted By andrasz

Yes. This can easily be deduced from position of...

Yes. This can easily be deduced from position of last radar contact, which is very close to the main wreckage and well beyond the ground location of the tail and other rear fuselage debris along the...
Showing results 1 to 35 of 63
 
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