Amazingly safe first 6 months of 2017

[Heathrow Harry]

The Flight analysis of the first 6 months of 2017 shows that for commercial transport flights worldwide there were only 6 fatal accidents which killed 16 crew & p[assengers - and only 4 of these were passengers. Of course a number of residents were also killed at Bishkek

No doubt a blip - but still astonishing!!!

[eckhard]

Now you've put the mockers on it!

[eckhard]

But let's hope this welcome trend continues.

[framer]

What rate per million departures does that work out to?

[Volume]

we nevertheless had several hull losses, and several really close calls...

[LGW Vulture]

Interesting fact. Especially given that most on here - especially those in the industry, think that standards overall have dropped to such a level that more accidents are an inevitability. I am especially talking about the quality of crews, training, oversight of authorities etc.

Doesn't really equate does it?

[Rwy in Sight]

several really close calls

which are useful wake up calls if handled. reported and analyzed properly.

LGW Vulture the system or rather its protections are developing faster than we erode the standards. Maybe.

[Heathrow Harry]

"What rate per million departures does that work out to?"

Not given in the article - they normally save that for their January Annual Review IIRC

[B737C525]

Randomness comes in clumps...

[Heathrow Harry]

long term trend is clearly downwards tho - first half numbers (scaled from graph)

2008 34 accidents ~580 deaths
09 28 - 760
10 26 - 810
11 31 - 500
12 21 - 410
13 26 - 220
14 18 - 620
15 8 - 190
16 13 - 290
17 6 - 16

[ZFT]

Originally Posted by Volume

we nevertheless had several hull losses, and several really close calls...

Another close call in Indonesia today between an ATR and a B737. Only damaged aircraft fortunately.

[RobertS975]

The first half of 2014 saw the disappearance of MH 370 and barely missed including the missle shoot down of the MH 777 over the Ukraine which happened in early July.

[Heathrow Harry]

That's where we are - a single crash in any 6 months blips the figures so they are starting to become (relatively) useless at forecasting trends

I find this really remarkeable when you realsie there are over 100,000 flights A DAY

we have come a very very long way