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Iceland volcano eruption risk level raised for aviation

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Iceland volcano eruption risk level raised for aviation

Old 23rd Aug 2014, 14:54
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Bárđarbunga update.

Some minutes ago (14:04), an earthquake occurred, estimated 4.5 in magnitude.

The aviation color code for the Bárđarbunga volcano has been changed from orange to red.
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Old 23rd Aug 2014, 14:55
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https://twitter.com/gislio/status/503184571324985344
ICAO code raised to RED after small lava eruption has started at #Bardarbunga #ashtag source: IMO via @RUVfrettir
— Gisli Olafsson (@gislio) August 23, 2014
(#ashtag ... heh.)
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Old 23rd Aug 2014, 15:02
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It also seems as though aircraft are diverting around the area of the volcano [flightradar24].
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Old 23rd Aug 2014, 15:06
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Iceland Meteorlogical Office:

Warning

It is believed that a small subglacial lava-eruption has begun under the Dyngjujökull glacier. The aviation color code for the Bárđarbunga volcano has been changed from orange to red.

Vatnajökull - earthquakes during the last 48 hours (Preliminary results) | Vatnajökull | Earthquakes - all regions | Seismicity | Icelandic Meteorological office
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Old 23rd Aug 2014, 15:18
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News in English:

Volcano | RÚV
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Old 23rd Aug 2014, 16:07
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webcam

Bárđarbunga
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Old 23rd Aug 2014, 16:43
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Restricted Area

Iceland Met Office

http://www.ruv.is/frett/small-erupti...o-have-started
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Old 23rd Aug 2014, 17:34
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Have not checked but a couple of days ago the airflow from the North West was due to change tomorrow Sunday meaning any airflow from Iceland will not head our way
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Old 23rd Aug 2014, 17:55
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Trans Atlantic Flights

Are trans Atlantic flights which pass over Iceland normally controlled by "Reykjavik Center"? I would imagine these flights would normally be assigned a North Atlantic Track (NATs) and Icelandic control only goes up to a certain level?

Now that part of Icelandic airspace is closed, are the NATs effected? are certain NATs not available? Do the oceanic centers create ad hoc alternative routes, or does "Reykjavik Center" step in and coördinate with the respective oceanic centers?

BA49 LHR-SEA currently seems to be taking a southern route past Iceland and then a different route north over Greenland.
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Old 23rd Aug 2014, 18:27
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Are trans Atlantic flights which pass over Iceland normally controlled by "Reykjavik Center"? I would imagine these flights would normally be assigned a North Atlantic Track (NATs) and Icelandic control only goes up to a certain level?

Now that part of Icelandic airspace is closed, are the NATs effected? are certain NATs not available? Do the oceanic centers create ad hoc alternative routes, or does "Reykjavik Center" step in and coördinate with the respective oceanic centers?

BA49 LHR-SEA currently seems to be taking a southern route past Iceland and then a different route north over Greenland.
NAT tracks predominately cater for traffic between Europe and the eastern seaboard, and as such usually route to the south of Iceland, and as such do not usually speak to Rekyavik, but to Gander and then Shanwick.

It is worthwhile looking at a Great Circle website to demonstrate the shortest route between two airports - the shortest time route will of course be affected by the upper level winds of the day.

Typically, when I operated trans-Atlantic from the UK to North America, I would not use NAT tracks when flying to the US west coast/Canada and sometimes/usually not en-route to Miami / further south.

Does this help?

For information, Rekyjavik FIR is north of 61N from 0W to 30W, and from N61W30 in a direct line to N63.5W39
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Old 23rd Aug 2014, 18:32
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Organized Tracks are more south tonight

1978 asks Are trans Atlantic flights which pass over Iceland normally controlled by "Reykjavik Center"? I would imagine these flights would normally be assigned a North Atlantic Track (NATs) and Icelandic control only goes up to a certain level?
The Organized Track System (OTS) is more south tonight. NAT Track S is the northern most OTS tonight and at 20W it is 53N. That's approximately 11 degrees of Latitude south of Iceland.

Outside of the OTS flights would be cleared on Random Routings as coordinated by the Air Navigation Service Providers (ANSPs) whose airspace will be traversed and the Pilots and their Operations. Cleared routes will comply with any NOTAMs.
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Old 23rd Aug 2014, 19:44
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Kistufell ? The comatose volcano | VolcanoCafé


For any that are interested thats where the main group of tremors are now.
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Old 23rd Aug 2014, 20:23
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No Eruption says Professor Magnus Tumi Gudmundsson Iceland´s leading scientist on Volcanes. The Met Office went overboard today when the tremors changed...

http://www.ruv.is/frett/expert-likely-no-eruption-yet

Last edited by oceancrosser; 23rd Aug 2014 at 20:37.
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Old 23rd Aug 2014, 20:40
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Latest update from the Icelandic Authorities.

23rd August 2014 17:08 - status report

Overall assessment from the joint daily status report 230814 of the Icelandic Met Office and the University of Iceland, Institute of Earth Sciences:

The aviation color code has been raised to "red" as the data is currently interpreted as a subglacial eruption. Both the thickness of the ice at the possible contact point (100-400 m) and the volume of lava in possible contact with ice are highly uncertain. It could be 0-20 hours before lava reaches the surface of the ice. It is also possible that the lava will not break through the ice, and the eruption could remain subglacial.


In other words, nothing is certain at this time.

Last edited by grebllaw123d; 23rd Aug 2014 at 20:55. Reason: small correction: subglacial instead of subglacia.
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Old 24th Aug 2014, 05:50
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Old 24th Aug 2014, 13:21
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xya6454
gg enhbzezn
241226 birkynyx
(a0274/14 notamn
q) bird/qwwxx/iv/nbo/w/000/999/6437n01731w999
a) bird
b) 1408241221 c) 1408291200
e) volcano bardarbunga 373030 6437.5n 01731.5w information.
Aviation color code has been downgraded to orange.
Heavy seismic activity is recorded.
Present situation does not affect aviation.
The situation may change with short notice.
F) sfc
g) unl)
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Old 24th Aug 2014, 13:27
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Bardarbunga: Aviation alert downgraded | RÚV
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Old 25th Aug 2014, 12:21
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Some interesting read as well... (pages 17 to 19)
Airbus FAST 53
So obviously avoidance is still the only way to deal with it, but it could be done using an onboard detection system detecting vulcanic ash up to 100km ahead, quide enough to divert.
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Old 25th Aug 2014, 15:32
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Wired magazine:

Why Volcanic Ash Is So Terrible for Airplanes | Autopia | WIRED

Oxford Economics estimates it [Eyjafjallajökull] cost the aviation industry $2.6 billion.

That’s why easyJet—which itself lost $55 million—collaborated with Airbus and Nicarnica Aviation, a Norwegian company that works on infrared and ultraviolet technologies, to develop a better way to detect airborne ash. In November 2013, they successfully tested the Airborne Volcanic Object Imaging Detector (AVOID), which uses infrared cameras to spot ash up to 62 miles away. That allows pilots to change routes only when ash poses a real threat, staying safe and saving money...
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Old 26th Aug 2014, 05:07
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Situation report

The situation seems less threatening but uncertain. See

Latest on Bárđarbunga Volcano | Iceland Review

Iceland Review Online: All You Need to Know About Iceland: News, Volcano eruption, Politics, Business, Music, Literature, Films, Art, History, Traditions, Nature, Travel

can often fill in what

Volcano | RÚV omits.
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