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MH17 down near Donetsk

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MH17 down near Donetsk

Old 17th Jul 2014, 17:27
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Media Statement : MH17 Incident

Released at 12:30am/18 July 2014

Malaysia Airlines confirms it received notification from Ukrainian ATC that it had lost contact with flight MH17 at 1415 (GMT) at 30km from Tamak waypoint, approximately 50km from the Russia-Ukraine border.

Flight MH17 operated on a Boeing 777 departed Amsterdam at 12.15pm (Amsterdam local time) and was estimated to arrive at Kuala Lumpur International Airport at 6.10 am (Malaysia local time) the next day.

The flight was carrying 280 passengers and 15 crew onboard.

Travel Advisory - Media Statement 1 : MH17 Incident | Malaysia Airlines
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 17:28
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The separatists have been boasting for weeks that they have captured Ukrainian SA-11 Buk systems. The SA-11 can be guided without radar using an optical tracker and laser ranging.

Donetsk militia takes control of Ukrainian anti-air installation

The self-defense forces of Donetsk People’s Republic seized control of a Ukrainian anti-air military installation, RIA Novosti reports.

"The forces of Donetsk People’s Republic assumed control of A-1402 military base," the militia's representative said. According to him, it is an anti-aircraft missile forces facility equipped with Buk mobile surface-to-air missile systems.
Donetsk militia takes control of Ukrainian anti-air installation - News - World - The Voice of Russia: News, Breaking news, Politics, Economics, Business, Russia, International current events, Expert opinion, podcasts, Video
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 17:31
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In April, US flights were warned not to fly over conflict-ridden regions of eastern Ukraine by the FAA earlier this year. (Reported in the Guardian Malaysia Airlines plane MH17 'crashes in Ukraine' - live updates | World news | theguardian.com which is maintaining updates.)
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 17:36
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Russian airlines to avoid the Ukrainian airspace starting immediately

Russian airlines Aeroflot and Transaero ordered not to fly over the Ukraine effective immediately
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 17:37
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I don't go there often, admittedly, but I do remember most of my CDG/LHR/FRA trips to go back through Ukraine. It might have been a jetstream/seasonal thing.

It is increasingly likely now that the separatists did shoot it down, with equally increasing likelihood that they used a BUK system either stolen from the Ukrainian military or, and I fear that's the case, on a courtesy loan from Putin.

Theories abound already, including one which seems to indicate an Ukrainian military transport was flying nearby bringing relief to ground troops and which the separatists might have thought they were targeting.
That, of course, entails a certain level of intelligence which, by any definition of the word, this hodgepodge group of russophiles is clearly unable to provide on their own...

I have $10 saying they never find the CVR/FDR.

This is absolutely, shockingly, disastrous. There is no excuse for any of this.
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 17:43
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photo of a BUK launcher supposedly taken in a town 75k E of Donetsk:

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Old 17th Jul 2014, 17:44
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Reuters tweets: #BREAKING: Number of dead from crash of #MH17 more than 300, includes 23 U.S. citizen: Interior Ministry adviser, quoted by Interfax



Which means the US now has involvement in the investigation.
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 17:46
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All our arrivals come in much further north via St Petersburg, the Baltics and Scandinavia.

Our returns either go via Belarus (Minsk) / Moscow or much further south via the Black Sea / Georgia.

Been that way for at least 10 years.
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 17:53
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Could it have been a bomb?

What do you guys think about the possibility of it being a bomb?

Could mean a massive security breach at AMS...
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 17:53
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Debris falling from the sky at the #MH17 crash site
That is what it looks like to me.
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 17:56
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The BBC reporting that the aircraft appears to have broken up before impact with debris scattered over a wide area.
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 17:59
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Ukrainian airforce, tons of BUK-M1, S-200 and S-300 systems: Ukrainian Air Force - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Naturally this doesn't indicate who did it, or even if it was in fact shoot down with a missile, even less with a Russian made.
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 18:00
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This debris is a proof of catastrophic structural damage inflight obviously.
The debris seem to be falling near the main impact site, implying that the aircraft might have disintegrated and was not controlled in any way after the damage occured. ( same forward velocity of all parts).

As the crashsite is in Rebel controlled territory, it will be another battle on who is responsible for the investigation...
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 18:04
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Russian News Agency RIA Novosti tweets: Putin expresses his "sincere condolences" to Malaysian PM on MH17 aircraft crash
As saturated with hypocrisy as possible, n'est-ce pas? Regardless of which forces actually knocked the plane out of the sky, isn't somebody who ignited the entire conflict morally responsible for what happens thereafter? Of course one should first be able to comprehend what the moral responsibility actually means.
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 18:10
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eurocontrol?

regardless of what caused this sad and terrible event - I wonder when ECTRL will be mentioned on the news reports? given they have flight plan and actual route data etc - also wonder why they haven't been coordinating flight plan alternatives to avoid conflict area?

I mean risk assessment? I know there has been no official evidence of deployment of sophisticated AA - but separatists situation + russians possibly supplying weapons + russian supported rebels being at risk from Ukrainian Govt air superiority + recent effective rebel anti-aircraft deployment (even if at low altitude) = no risk? I don't think so!
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 18:12
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Looking at the feed the BBC is showing, you can see the lighter Debris still falling where the smoke is rising. Can see the multiple long,white streaming items falling as well as metalic parts.

The impact does not indicate a nose heavy impact, so its unlikely that the floating debris is a side effect of that.

This was definately breaking up before impact with the ground.
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 18:16
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Well if the missile came from the "rebel" side (read: Putin's merry band of rascals...), then Ukraine needs to be a NATO member next week..

If it came from the Ukrainian side, which I doubt, then the bunch in power in. Kiev need to go, pronto! And that's going to get complicated..

Whatever the outcome, it will not be a good one, but taking civil air trafic hostage to regional conflicts cannot be tolerated, and I will support whoever gets this point across! Too bad all the big players have already lost the moral high ground on this particular subject...
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 18:17
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screenshot of the rebel post claiming a cargo plane shootdown. He even posted a photo of the smoke plume which matches the current crash site imagery:

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Old 17th Jul 2014, 18:20
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no fire trail after missile strike?

Looking at the video posted at CNN showing MH17 impacting the ground then bursting into flames the moment of ground impact, I could not see any sort of trail showing signs of burning debris as it strikes the ground. Its quite strange
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Old 17th Jul 2014, 18:25
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You are absolutely right, quad. The wee hour and half a bottle of wine got the best of my geographical perspective already.
Well, if CX's own brand of training managed to teach me one thing, it's how to swallow my pride.

It appears the separatists did indeed steal a SAM battery from the Ukrainian army during the conflict...

I'll go to bed now.
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