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Malaysian Airlines MH370 contact lost

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Malaysian Airlines MH370 contact lost

Old 28th Mar 2014, 22:25
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The APU attemped autostart. Possible explanation for the "partial handshake" ?
Yeah, that's very interesting. Could there be enough fuel available to the APU (e.g. in the fuel lines between tank and APU) to run the SATCOM terminal for a minute or two, even when there's not enough to run the engines?

I've no idea how much it burns, or how it's hooked into the fuel system.
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Old 28th Mar 2014, 22:49
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There are far too many misinformed/ignorant/radical posts in this thread. Please, if you don't know what you're talking about, keep quiet!
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Old 28th Mar 2014, 23:03
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Malaysian Airlines MH370 contact lost

Re debris, only a ship retrieval can confirm anything seen by sat or other is related, considering there's still a shed load of junk working its way towards the US from the Japanese tsunami.
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Old 28th Mar 2014, 23:04
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re: debris found

There is not just one of those rectangular objects, there are 11.

"A cluster of 11 white rectangular objects is sitting just below the surface about 1600 kilometres west of Perth"

from: Coloured objects spotted in MH370 search area - Yahoo!7

Anyone know what they could be? Are there white plastic panels in a B777 that would match this description or what? Article doesn't state size at all.
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Old 28th Mar 2014, 23:13
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Fuel consumption

Call me stupid but:
They think it flew faster for the same amount of time, but didn't travel as far!!

Does that sound right, or have they got something the wrong way round?

Previous answers to this question do not make sense either!

Do they mean flew with a higher Fuel flow????

Last edited by buttrick; 28th Mar 2014 at 23:25.
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Old 28th Mar 2014, 23:32
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Call me stupid but:
They think it flew faster for the same amount of time, but didn't travel as far!!

Does that sound right, or have they got something the wrong way round?
Read the ATSB statement quoted in this post:

http://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/5...ml#post8406162

and come back if you still don't understand.
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Old 28th Mar 2014, 23:35
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Call me stupid but:
They think it flew faster for the same amount of time, but didn't travel as far!!

Does that sound right, or have they got something the wrong way round?

Previous answers to this question do not make sense either!
Let me try from dumbed down level that I am,

speed and distance are linear, speed and energy are non linear square law type of relationship.

another words if you increase your speed the distance travelled per unit of time will increase proportionally. But to get more speed you need a sh!t more go go juice, hence it runs out quicker, a lot quicker, hence you don't go as far.

Now theres heaps more in it than that from a aircraft viewpoint, but its morning and I'm still getting coffee
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Old 28th Mar 2014, 23:49
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Inother words if you increase your speed the distance travelled per unit of time will increase proportionally. But to get more speed you need a sh!t more go go juice, hence it runs out quicker, a lot quicker, hence you don't go as far.
But I think buttrick's point is that the time hasn't changed. So you can't run out of fuel quicker. I'm guessing they are assuming the timelines are those quoted here with the crash defined by that last partial ping at 7.38.
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Old 28th Mar 2014, 23:51
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Yes, that's what is confusing me too - they flew for the same time, it seems, yet the one that flew faster traveled a shorter distance?
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Old 28th Mar 2014, 23:51
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suninmyeyes: That is without doubt the most interesting post I've read. Why the oscillation?

Last edited by Lemain; 28th Mar 2014 at 23:52. Reason: add suninmyeyes
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Old 28th Mar 2014, 23:54
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If I remember correctly, the aircraft would not have run out of fuel at the point where it crossed the final ping arc on the earlier estimates; didn't they say it had 30 minutes to an hour of fuel left?

It may be that the new estimate now has it running out of fuel on the final arc, which seems likely to be the case.
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Old 29th Mar 2014, 00:01
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It may be that the new estimate now has it running out of fuel on the final arc, which seems likely to be the case.
Thats sort of what I was presuming, the final position derived position area is still the same, but the amount of time possible after that point has decreased.
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Old 29th Mar 2014, 00:04
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They flew faster than expected during the first 2 hours. Which means that they had less fuel left than expected. Which means that they had to fly slower than expected for the remaining 6-ish hours if they were to stay airborne for the duration.

Also, since the last known position (just under 2 hours into the flight, 18:22 UTC) is fixed by the radar, the fact that they flew faster before that point does not put them any further out.
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Old 29th Mar 2014, 00:05
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The media wording about the increased speed and fuel usage is particularly bad.

The original explanation of the latest new crash position calculation, that I believe, explains the reduced distance travelled - is that the aircraft initially used more fuel than originally estimated, because revised calculations of the flight path, speed and height, in the sector between where the aircraft initially diverted from its flight plan, to the point where it was last sighted on radar, showed an increased fuel burn over initial calculations.

This then left less fuel to burn between last radar sighting point, and fuel starvation point. The new calculations obviously pick up increased flight phugoid movements or perhaps even throttle position changes.
Spare a thought for those doing the calculations, with so little real information from the flight deck.
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Old 29th Mar 2014, 00:06
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Nothing to do with arcs.
Pure physics

Speed x time = distance

Simple as that

For it to have flown a shorter distance then either speed or time MUST be lower.
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Old 29th Mar 2014, 00:10
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Buttrck

Are you asking....
If he is going faster, then how come he went "less far".....in the same amount of time.
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Old 29th Mar 2014, 00:13
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Its a confusing post (the arc's bit is irrelevant to the equation, its only relevant to the distance traveled or the final location).

If the aircraft traveled faster, then it would have run out of fuel earlier, so the "time" part of the equation IS shorter (lower).
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Old 29th Mar 2014, 00:14
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I find it very hard to understand why almost a whole week's time and effort was spent searching an area 2500 miles from Perth, when a better analysis of the satellite communications data on Friday now suddenly puts the most likely site of the crash to be 700 miles closer to the coast.

There are only eight hourly points in a time series giving distance and speed away from the satellite. Given that the radar data in the early stages of the flight is - at best - of very modest use, why did it take a week to make the fix?

There are only so many possible speeds; follow a swarm of consistent Monte Carlo-ed paths to the best place to search, and don't be distracted by various random pictures of whitecaps taken by random satellites from random countries.

It would seem to be long past time to release the full set of distance and speed values from the Inmarsat system and allow the world's spring-breaking students to mail in a guess. They couldn't do much worse.

There's also the issue of the lack of information about the time of flight after 0811, other than to say that it didn't extend as far as 0911. It could be anywhere from ~100km to ~900km. None of the search box plots include this degree of uncertainty along the track. Is this reported partial call after 0811 being assumed to be a clear sign of the first engine running dry, or is it wanting to present an unduly optimistic picture to the press?

There is a pressing need to try to find the wreckage before the sonar pingers run out of power, but that goal is surely not served by doing lots of MPA flying in the wrong place.
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Old 29th Mar 2014, 00:14
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Also, since the last known position (just under 2 hours into the flight, 18:22 UTC) is fixed by the radar, the fact that they flew faster before that point does not put them any further out.
Ah thanks. So the assumption that has changed is the amount of fuel left at the point of that last radar fix. From then to the last partial ping is a fixed time interval so you have to adjust the speed to get the right fuel efficiency for the remaining fuel to last that length of time. Then you can compute speed multiplied by time to get the distance.

I'm sure it's more complicated than that but is that roughly the idea ?
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Old 29th Mar 2014, 00:16
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.in the same amount of time.
No, in less time.
He was out of fuel sooner. The last ping really doesn't define when exactly flight ended, we don't have this data, not yet.
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