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SDSR 15

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Old 30th Dec 2014, 08:15
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Tuc,

Good point. I think there is a serious possibility that SDSR will be delayed until 2016. I think that would be a good thing.

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Old 30th Dec 2014, 08:29
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Its nearer 50 than 2
And that is the problem with Stats - they are just a snapshot in time; a day later and the picture might change dramatically. So (as has been pointed out before but you have ignored) I know of 6 air cdres that have PVRd in the last couple of months; I've also heard of a couple of brigadiers who have done the same. So a snapshot today might not be vastly different but it will change in pretty short order!

Unfortunately, several of those who have PVRd are our brightest and best; which doesn't necessarily bode well for the rest of us and the future!!

I also agree that SDSR should be job for 15/16; with the actual decisions and announcement into 2016. Let's face it SDSR 10 was rushed and certainly not a true Strategic review!
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Old 30th Dec 2014, 08:34
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SDSR 16

My understanding is if you delay into 16 that means the CSR from HMT has already allocated the money for the next 3 years at least. Therefore you can review all you want but the budget is set and fixed making SDSR 16 an internal resource shuffle/cut rather like the current ABC rounds (annual planning round in new speak). If you allign with the CSR in 15 you can at least argue your point for capability based on some proper assessment.

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Old 30th Dec 2014, 09:33
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Leon

It's the timing that upsets the top shop.

The BOWMAN HF replacement was specified, trialled, delivered and in theatre, all in the space of 2 months in 2003 - and not under a UOR. UORs took far longer!

A month later, the BOWMAN main contract was let to buy its predecessor. This was so embarrassing, the BOWMAN IPT lobbied for the replacement programme to be cancelled, but the PM told them to push off, the replacement would prevent losses whereas in many ways BOWMAN was going to contribute to losses (and so it proved). But they were partially successful as the replacement, at first scheduled for 3 "special" users, wasn't pulled through for everyone else. But BOWMAN did eventually make a supplementary buy outwith their main contract for proper antennae, which had been left out of the contract. Radios. No antennae. You couldn't make it up. Mind you, first things first. The batteries didn't work either, as well as costing 3 times as much as those from other suppliers, and being to a 10 years out of date specification (and not built to that spec). And don't mention battery chargers. Or exploding batteries. Or the total recall and destruction order, that left troops short of power for around 2 years. As the General Officer Commanding said in a press briefing in January 2006, the BOWMAN HF replacement was "the comms system of choice in AFG". What an indictment.

Point being, we need to avoid waste like this before deciding on cuts, otherwise the cuts are from an uninformed and false baseline.
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Old 30th Dec 2014, 11:55
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Tuc

Yet again I agree. The waste in our procurement is a disgrace to the hard working taxpayers that pay for the capability. The sooner we start actual 'smart' procurement, like we have with Reaper, Harris 117, Mastiff, Ridgback, Shadow, SigSauer P226, Sharpshooter, M6-895 mortar and others, then the better - all of these have been brought into service at significantly lower cost than the normal method of procurement. The guys at General Atomic were agog when I told them how much we paid contractors to develop something like Watchkeeper or Phoenix - originally we went to look at Predator and then the company asked if we might like to see their next generation of un-manned armed-ISR; this was Reaper, and it was developed from the company's own investment. Furthermore, look at the Jaguar aircraft when the ability to bolt on bits from off the shelf and trial them, came in? The step-change in capability versus amount spent was exceptional.

I agree that procurement is where the majority of savings should come from and the other part from the mismanagement of infrastructure by DIO and their rip-off Regional Prime Contractors who add a "40% variance" to the price of the work before they even start! For example, some simple corrugated roof work was quoted by a local roofing contractor at £750+VAT (they were all HSE approved) and then the Regional Prime Contractor got the job at ~£2,200+VAT - how's that for value for money!!!

Makes me grumpy...

LJ
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Old 30th Dec 2014, 12:01
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In the example above why not report the episode to the MOD fraud and abuse waste line?

Last edited by vascodegama; 30th Dec 2014 at 12:02. Reason: Spelling
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Old 30th Dec 2014, 12:04
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Have you got a link - I'm pretty sure I have enough to employ someone investigating it for 12 months!

Sadly, as it is a 'closed shop' for Regional Prime Contractors and also those under the Catering Retail and Leisure (CRL) contract (that also charge silly prices for their services when an outside firm could do better) then it is unlikely to get a satisfactory conclusion for the taxpayer.

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Old 30th Dec 2014, 16:24
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LJ Check PMs
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Old 30th Dec 2014, 17:30
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Leon, never was a truer word said - there are more savings here than you would care to believe.

I agree that procurement is where the majority of savings should come from

The problem is, you have to do it properly if you want to make the savings. That means a proper/mature/stable specification, open and fair competition, and preventing interference from parties with vested interest during the procurement process.

Oh, and ditching the belief that appointing certain companies as "strategic resources" is the only way of achieving technology and capability transfer.

New Procurement Regs coming in April are going focus the MoD's mind on that one.
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Old 30th Dec 2014, 19:08
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Vasco

Many thanks PM sent back. I also found thus amongst the FOI stuff - https://www.gov.uk/government/upload...regularity.pdf

Sad thing is that all of the Regional Contractors are changing to a single source right now - Carillion (http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/444bb632-1...#axzz3NPhIPg3x). So now it is just a "one horse race" and I cannot see how this can possibly offer value for money as there is no competition!

I am glad that the current apparent 'cowboy builders' have been shown the door though!

LJ
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Old 31st Dec 2014, 10:14
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The construction industry was regarded as the most corrupt and organised-crime ridden sector in Britain, at least in the 1990s, when I spent time auditing. For example, on average 20% of goods ordered never arrived on site - being 'pilfered' along the way.

The scaffolding industry was particularly prone to OC activities; in another example in 1995 a contractor working at RAF Lyneham had a number of his vehicles fire-bombed in Bristol and thus withdrew from the contract, requiring 'single-tender action' to permit work to continue - and to allow a much larger - and more shadier - firm to take over. That sort of behaviour was particularly prevalent.
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Old 31st Dec 2014, 11:59
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Hence the famed 1970s graffiti

IN COMMUNIST CHINA WORKERS TAKE THE LEAD!

Beneath which, in a different hand

IN SOCIALIST BRITAIN THE B***ERS NICK THE COPPER PIPING
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Old 1st Jan 2015, 14:40
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Leon

Sad thing is that all of the Regional Contractors are changing to a single source right now - Carillion (http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/444bb632-1...#axzz3NPhIPg3x). So now it is just a "one horse race" and I cannot see how this can possibly offer value for money as there is no competition!

Surely for a contract of this size there is a legal requirement to compete under the Public Contracts/Utilities Regulations 2006? - unless Carillon are being awarded work under a framework, in which case the obligation to run a mini-competition would lie with the Authority.

The FM/Building world is quite competitive - it would be interesting to know how Carillion's services are being procured.
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Old 1st Jan 2015, 14:57
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Here is another link better than the FT one: Carillion plc - Carillion joint venture signs contracts with the Defence Infrastructure Organisation for a further three Next Generation Estate Contracts
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Old 1st Jan 2015, 15:03
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Whenurhappy

(sorry - got carried away with this one)

Corruption perception indexes - Global:

2014 Corruption Perceptions Index -- Results

Within the UK there was a scale for each industry - usually Oil & Gas, Building, Defence took 1st, 2nd and 3rd.

Personally I can't see how Health did not make it into the top running as it is still common to see fund controllers awarding themselves contracts.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/c84ead24-c...#axzz3NaHwGJjI

Uk Bribery Act 2010 puts an obligation on organisations to prevent fraud and replaces previous legislation on corruption.

There is still a duty to report and the presumption of innocence does not automatically apply. (If you don't report you are considered to be part of the scam).

Fun to view webpage at the Serious Fraud Office

Latest press releases | Press room | SFO - Serious Fraud Office
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Old 1st Jan 2015, 15:19
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Bigbux,

The reason health didn't make it onto the list, is because it's a corruption perception index, not an index of actual corruption, and health is not perceived to be corrupt.

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Old 1st Jan 2015, 16:30
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Whoever, or whatever coalition or mix we finish up with in May, they will have a fiscal mountain to climb.
I think there is a serious possibility that SDSR will be delayed until 2016.
You should be so lucky!!

I think it vanishingly unlikley that Defence, with such fragile public support post Afghan, will not be an early major target - and that doesn't mean waiting 'til 2016 unfortunately.

All the Pollies at the moment are fighting shy of addressing or even acknowledging the extent of the Defecit and its seriousness.

Listen in Best Beloveds, because - without being patronising - many (most?) seem not to know the difference between Debt and Defecit.

Debt is what you owe, Defecit is all about cashflow - and we've all been there (I certainly have!) Say you earn £3k a month, but you're spending £3.5k. Whatever you actually owe, that £500 is your defecit. And we get over it temporarily with the help of the plastic or a nice Bank Manager. (and we haven't touched the Debt)

Temporarily is the key - it cannot be sustained. At present, even in so-called "austerity" and with supposed actual and planned "cuts", UK plc is spending about £3k per second more than its income, or if you'd prefer, £10.9M per hour, £250M+ per day. Between now and 7th May that's nearly £33Bn of just defecit, not a penny reducing the debt, not a penny contributing to servicing that increasing debt.

One is not optimistic against that background, at how successfully MoD will be able to compete against NHS and DHSS.

And cynical moi still doesn't expect any Pollie to come clean on the Defecit until 8th May when - foolishly - someone will have a guaranteed 5-year tenure .......
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Old 1st Jan 2015, 17:39
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Ok, now my headache has subsided can I just confirm that so far on this thread that we serving, ex-serving and interested thread posters acknowledge that:

1. The pseudo ring fencing of Defence and the ability to deliver operationally trained, equipped and experienced forces (less so Navy) due to Afghan will stop abruptly in 2015.
2. The Defence budget will be cut by a significant amount over the next 4 years.
3. Any funding savings requested by HMT will be delivered by the MoD via savings found in DE&S and DIO, in what appears to be the way that procurement and Defence contracts are awarded.

Have I got that right, or is last night's ale blurring my naive judgement?

Just one more question if you don't mind, is there a military definition for the term strategic, specifically in the timeframe that any SDSR should review - 5, 10, 15 years? Is there a set time metric, or is it decided upon every SDSR or by its very (political) timing it only looks out to the next 5 years acknowledging that a change of Government of the day will invariably result in a change to Defence?

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Old 1st Jan 2015, 17:40
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Itr wouldn't be so bad if the politicians said "we'll look at the NHS/SocSec/Defence budget after the election" but they will gave ANY promises they htink will get the votes - and that means they will tie themselves absolutely to the NHS etc


They don't leave themslves any wriggle room and Defence will be massacred again

Unless President Putin goes totally off the rails it all looks bad from here on in
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Old 1st Jan 2015, 17:56
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May I recommend this as an excellent articulation of some of the underlying challenge associated with SDSR

Britainin a Perilous World: The defence and Security Review We Need Britainin a Perilous World: The defence and Security Review We Need


It's a bit of a polemic but makes some very insightful points. In particular; Defence has no agreed definition for 'strategic' but there are several acknowledged definitions that are widely understood by the military. Further, that whilst Defence has a shared language for the creation of both policy and doctrine, Westminster, and more importantly, politicians, do not.
The consequence of this, is that outlining defence and security needs in a manner that will 'hit home' with decision makers, is very, very hard.

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