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Rafale wins Indian order

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Old 2nd Feb 2012, 19:19
  #81 (permalink)  
 
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You may not like his work but he is a famous Belgian René Magritte - Olga's Gallery
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Old 2nd Feb 2012, 21:21
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Belgium, a potentially endless thread filled with wonders ,weird stuff and downright bizare facts.

But like a wiser man rightfully notices:
Are we still on thread...?
so here goes,

Like already said, the deal is not sealed just yet, it looks further from fact than initially the French claimed but closer than the EF consortium hoped.
Don't be surprised if all this is put a bid on longhold to aid Sarko with his campaign timing for his next presidential election.
and furthermore;

French Rafale UAE deal back on-report | Reuters
French Rafale UAE deal back on-report

Thu Feb 2, 2012 1:09pm EST

* La Tribune says Sarkozy could seal $10 bln deal by April

* Win in the UAE could pave way for Qatar, Kuwait

Feb 2 (Reuters) - France could seal a long-awaited deal for Dassault to sell at least 60 Rafale fighter jets to the United Arab Emirates by April, turning around what appeared to have been a lost cause, French newspaper La Tribune reported on Thursday.

The French-built jet emerged on Tuesday as preferred bidder in a $15 billion contest to supply India with 126 warplanes, lifting hopes for a sale that would boost French national pride and restore the lustre of its aviation sector.

Citing unidentified sources, the paper said on its website that President Nicolas Sarkozy would go to the UAE in March or early April when the contract is likely to be finalised.

So if all ,or most, goes well RAFALE and the French industry have potentially
3 or 4 new customers signed and sealed and Sarkozy will come out smelling as roses.
Just in time for elections end april begin may, talk about coincidence.

Last edited by kbrockman; 3rd Feb 2012 at 10:15.
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Old 3rd Feb 2012, 11:03
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Forgive my naive question.

Will the Indian g'ment be inclined to change its mind? It won't want to alienate the French I imagine, but in order to keep a valuable (?) friend like the UK onside, could there be a 'reluctant' about face in the near future?
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Old 3rd Feb 2012, 13:57
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Many famous Belgian in France, Jacques Brel for example.

As for France...
In Europe it has to be understood that when it comes:
-to space (the very successful Arianespace in french guyana, one of the busiest space port in the world, if not the busiest),
-to airliners (Airbus),
-to helicopter (Eurocopter),
-or jet fighters (Dassault),
the core, the center and the source are in each of this cases France.
That's only a fact, it might change in the future, but today this is the case and the sooner Europe will understand it for the future projects, the better it will be.

Now the Rafale itself. Comon! Some posters seem to be surprised here...
This last past century in Europe, ONLY France has sold THOUSANDS of jet fighters (french Dassault jet fighter) all around the world, involved in many different wars.

The french Dassault jet fighters have a war experience this half past century that nobody can match in Europe. As simple as that.

India (like many countries around the world) already had and still have many Dassault jet fighters. Rafale is a Dassault jet fighter, in fact there is no surprise here in the fact Rafale has been chosen.
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Old 3rd Feb 2012, 15:06
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KAG, you seem to be suggesting that Rafale was only selected because of Dassault's past glories. At least, that is how I read it.

Yes, France has exported large numbers of jet fighters across the world, and they have seen conflict in many countries. But let's remember that their reputation (and particularly that of the Mirage III) was largely down to their operation by Israel throughout the 1950s and 1960s against mostly inferior opposition. Had France not made the decision to begin supplying Israel with military aircraft then it could be a very different story. In fact, the day that France cancelled orders from the Israeli government following the 1967 Six Day War, and thus prompting Israel to look elsewhere for its military needs, must have been a bad one for the French arms industry. Compare the number of Mirage 2000s built compared to how many exported F-16s have left the factory. France also made a number of sales to regimes and countries that, quite frankly, no-one else would deal with.

But as far as India is concerned, and if you want to play the numbers game, they have flown 104 Ouragans, 110 Mystere IVs and 49 Mirage 2000s (abandoning plans for a further 110s M2000s and buying MiG-29s instead) for a total of 263 French jets. Compare that with 30 Vampires, 235 Hunters, 110 Canberras, 292 Gnats/Ajeets, 144 Jaguars and 25 Sea Harriers, along with 143 (so far) Hawks currently being built, supplied by or built under licence from the UK (989 aircraft), which really does beg the question as to why India was put in Germany's marketing territory and not the UK's. Mind, even that pales against the numbers of Soviet/Russian jets supplied to India over the years- nearly 1000 MiG-21s alone.

And let's not forget that France has ended up as the leader in much of European aerospace because their view of a collaborative project is 'our design, our test programme, our factory, and you can build some small parts to go on it', which was one reason why the French left the Eurofighter project. The one exception was the Jaguar, which the French government denigrated at every opportunity in order to promote the Mirage F.1.

Last edited by Martin the Martian; 3rd Feb 2012 at 15:11. Reason: addition of text
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Old 3rd Feb 2012, 16:34
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mmmhhh.... don't want to get into bag pulling here, however...

- when the french stopped providing the israelis with Mirage, they copied the design, proof it couldn't be that bad...
- if we are only considering facts against a "superior" enemy, can you give us some examples please?
- KAG was mentioning Europe, therefore F-16 is out of the equation...
- country regime-wise, is selling EF to..say, the saudis more acceptable than other customers? Please tell us where do you set the limit.
- As for european cooperation, you seem to forget Lynx, Gazelle, Pumas just to stay on the military. I haven't heard the Frogs denigrating neither of those...

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Old 3rd Feb 2012, 18:52
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There is a topic in this thread, please keep to it.
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Old 4th Feb 2012, 01:05
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Al R wrote
Will the Indian g'ment be inclined to change its mind? It won't want to alienate the French I imagine, but in order to keep a valuable (?) friend like the UK onside, could there be a 'reluctant' about face in the near future?
I guess the question to be asked is does India regard UK as a valuable friend?

UK governments appear to have been concentrating on being a good European since joining EU, and have largely turned there back on Commonwealth countries.
Fair enough, but UK can't now, when convenient, resort to status of valuable friend when it suits them. A case of making your bed and lying in it.

John

PS I suspect there is still a fondness for the UK people in Commonwealth countries, bit less for the UK Government.

Last edited by rjtjrt; 4th Feb 2012 at 01:28.
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Old 4th Feb 2012, 02:05
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UK governments appear to have been concentrating on being a good European since joining EU, and have largely turned there back on Commonwealth countries.
Fair enough, but UK can't now, when convenient, resort to status of valuable friend when it suits them. A case of making your bed and lying in it.
What a load of Grollocks - The UK has of course been trying a good European, but I feel the thought they have "have largely turned there back on Commonwealth countries" inappropriate and simply not correct.

Maintaining focus on India, I feel certain that successive British Governments have been supporting India in many ways and non the least in terms of financial aid (despite the latter increasingly going into the face of public opinion).

Even if the UK were not a member of the European Community they would still have to pay a lot of attention to what was going on in their own back yard, common sense dictates such. I don't see the government turning their back on Commonwealth countries (even in places where a republican sentiment periodically rears it's head) though often there may not be a lot of visibility in what is going on. I'm pretty sure that on a government to government level the same rapport continues as before and if a need becomes evident and if the UK is able to assist, then I'm sure assistance in one form or another will be forthcoming.
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Old 4th Feb 2012, 02:21
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I'm not sure you would know what the feeling is in Commonwealth countries.
Indeed UK govts have turned their back - ask NZ about access to your market after UK entered Common Market.
An example - until UK Foreign Secretary came to Australia last year, no Foreign Secretary had been, if I recal, for about 10 years.
So bollocks is in the eye of the beholder, and you can remain with your smug idea that all is going swimmingly with UK and its relations with Commonwealth.

Last edited by rjtjrt; 4th Feb 2012 at 07:10.
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Old 4th Feb 2012, 02:44
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rjtjrt

I am sure that over time there are changes in relationships based on changes in the overall world situation and of course the very regulated European situation, which is the cause of significant ongoing dispute between the UK and the EU themselves.

I have in the last decade visited NZ a couple of times and far more frequently Australia. These were on business visits within the aviation community including in some instances the Air Forces of both countries. I did not get the impression during these visits there was any serious degradation of the relationship. Be that as it may, all are entitled to their own opinions and perspective.
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Old 4th Feb 2012, 03:57
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Seems to be a lot of flag flying and a Europe divided

However both aircraft seem to have made the shortlist on the extensive field trials! so let us for a moment assume they are theoretically on par in the varied control environment. I am also assuming their pricing was relatively similar for them to have reached the same cut off. Then it comes down to the political considerations. I am sure the following would have played a role

India - France extensive military sales relationship from Ships to planes to technology.

Mirage 2000 in Kargil

Current upgrade program for the above

Scorpene Sub program

France lifted all embargoes first post nuclear deal and has signed on fast to fund the reactors here and allow India into the nuclear club.

Lets put it this way, the French much like the Russians have too much stake in India and probably will not ditch the Indians in a tight spot. On the other Hand the Germans, British tend to tow the US line and in a potential conflict in their friendly neighborhood the French have more chances of coming thru than the rest of consortium.

Lets be realistic regardless of the typhoon or the Rafael both can probably knock the socks of the J-7 and aging F-16 aircraft so there is no real issue there. The issue is that when push comes to shove which country will stand by and which will wag their finger. That IMHO is probably first and foremost political consideration.

That said the Yanks are getting a chance in many areas and will probably take about 20 more years to build trust, till then they need to be in less critical areas of parts supply.

That said it aint over till the fat lady has sung, but either will be a better sight than the Mig 21.
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Old 4th Feb 2012, 12:47
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British defence, security sector trade mission to visit India - World - DNA

Bet the chequebooks will be brought to suggest a change of mind.

Funny the UAE changing its stance on Rafale deal, could this be something to do with France putting lots of its equipment in place and its carrier close to the Persian Gulf for an attack on Iran. West acting as Mercs for Saudi's and their allies in exchange for trade deals.
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Old 4th Feb 2012, 13:41
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Will the Indian g'ment be inclined to change its mind? It won't want to alienate the French I imagine, but in order to keep a valuable (?) friend like the UK onside, could there be a 'reluctant' about face in the near future?
The Typhoon bid in India was, and is, lead by the Germans. For all Cameron's pleas, his influence is marginal.
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Old 4th Feb 2012, 17:17
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For all Cameron's pleas, his influence is marginal.
That not just in India thats everywhere
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Old 4th Feb 2012, 17:55
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I have in the last decade visited NZ a couple of times and far more frequently Australia. These were on business visits within the aviation community including in some instances the Air Forces of both countries. I did not get the impression during these visits there was any serious degradation of the relationship.
Possibly because both countries have, since being discarded by the UK, managed perfectly well without it!

From my reading of the sale, the deal is not signed nor by any means is the French bid guaranteed success.
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Old 4th Feb 2012, 18:21
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Maybe the fact that the Rafale is advertised with 'Nuclear Strike' as one of it's core missions is what helped win it.
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Old 4th Feb 2012, 18:52
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Finnpog,

No, it's simpler than that. The Rafale looks like an aircraft should, not like a bunch of bits from multiple manufacturers just bolted together.

The French know how aircraft should look; sexy, curved, aggressive, useful. The Typhoon looks like a bunch of sharp pointy bits glued together.

Looks sell.

The UK used to know how fighty planes should look. They lost the plot though and decided computers know better. You then end up with things like the AEW3 & the Typhoon.
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Old 4th Feb 2012, 19:26
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An Indian perspective - from tomorrows Times of India

9 factors that may have helped Dassault sell its Rafale fighter this week - The Economic Times
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Old 4th Feb 2012, 20:08
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Hval,
I do agree that the Rafale looks the mutt's nuts. The phots from when they deployed a Flotille with the USN (USS Harry S Truman ?) showed the M model off a treat.
Reading Dassault's publicity on their website, they make a big bit about austere field worthiness and not over-complicating the design.
A real pity that these won't be getting bought for the WAFUs.

I would not be suprised if the MoD / RAF / HM Treasury's decision to sell loads of our Typhoons rather than keeping them is sonehow not a selling point.
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