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I doubt whether in today's socio-politicl-economic climate that any UK leader would be willing pull another 'Maggie' and chances are that if a comprehensive petition is made by the nations of South America, Britain will probably yield 'something' to the Argies.
Just goes to prove that though few Argentinians have lived on the Falklands, the outcrops still seem to be of some importance to them!
Although a UN referendum on self-determination (one of, it not the, key underpinning principle(s) of these things, don't forget) would be interesting.
Govt says 'right, UN chaps - free and fair referendum, conducted under your auspices to see what the islanders want as per Article 1 of the Covenant on Civil and Political Rights'.
Referendum held - Falklanders vote to remain British. As the thing is UN-run, the Argentines have no chance of claiming that the vote has been rigged - what do they do then? Ignore self-determination principle and try to invade? Sanctions against the UK on the grounds of... what, exactly? Upholding self-determination?
It would be a potentially useful mechanism to wrong-foot the Argentines (perhaps coupled with rumours that a couple of SSNs are in the area, just in case).
And it'd save us multiple threads on here about how a carrier is the one and only way of protecting the Falklands (Pprune, passim)...
Archimedes I like your approach but I think that all this will do is buy time.
The Argies will reject such a referendum based on their belief that Falkland Islanders do not have the right to determine their destiny as they are on borrowed ground - in much the same way as the Palestenians view the Israelis.
The communications I've read point towards USAN contesting the UK's claim to the Falklands using all kinds of cultural, political and geographical arguments to support this. Technicalities currently in favour of the UK are viewed as part of the UK's colonial influence which is as wrong as the 'occupation' of the Falklands itself!
Given that regional oilex has so far been negative I wonder whether resources are the motivation?
The Falklands have no indigenous people, they were uninhabited prior to their discovery & colonization, first by the British, then the Argentinians (who themselves were colonists from Spain) & then by the British who kicked the Argies out (for the first time) for settling in their land. To make the Falklands the Malvinas would simply be replacing one colonial power with another.
Therefore the only solution is to allow the right to self determination of the inhabitants, and we all know where that will go which is why the Argentinians won't allow it.
Anyway, we won the war fair & square so the islands must be ours!
The Brazilians aren't daft, whilst they may be willing to make noises about South American brotherhood and deny the odd port visit they are not going to risk a trade war with the UK and by extension the EU about some windswept rocks they couldn't give a damn about!
The biggest casualty here will be the loss of Jacks favorite run ashore