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Future Carrier (Including Costs)

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Future Carrier (Including Costs)

Old 25th Nov 2014, 16:36
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see Navy Ship Names: Background for Congress 2014

http://fas.org/sgp/crs/weapons/RS22478.pdf

Basically they are "generally" now named after Presidents but they retain the flexibility to use other names - especially if they need to get a political favour from someone in Congress -

Sorry - of course I meant "recognise the years of service given by one of our foremost political figures"
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Old 25th Nov 2014, 17:48
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For our American friends,
Did LBJ get a carrier named after him? What about Carter? Are those two deemed unsuccessful Presidents? And hence don't get carriers?
I mean LBJ, he should get one named after him-used them enough offshore Vietnam.


I would like ours to have been called HMS John Mills and HMS Dicky Attenborough. Or HMS Noel Coward.
The RFAs that are being built to support them, I would go with RFA Frankie Howerd, RFA Benny Hill and RFA John Cleese.
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Old 25th Nov 2014, 18:57
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Carter is a former submariner, so he has the third Seawolf class SSN named after him (USS Jimmy Carter (SSN-23) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia). LBJ is the third of the Zumwalt class (USS Lyndon B. Johnson (DDG-1002) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia).
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Old 18th May 2015, 07:49
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With a defence review on the horizon, the Government will need to make decisions to help us get back to the state of play where fixed wing carrier aviation is routine. A few things occur to me:

1. SDSR10 went on with a commitment to Afghanistan in the background. This time it will not. There are not many other land locked countries. The probability is that actions may take place in a littoral state.

2. The main kinetic activity the UK is currently participating in is operations against ISIL. American and French carriers have played an important role in this fight, and RN warships have supported US and French carrier groups.

3. Recent operations in Sierra Leone have shown the utility and flexibility of basing aircraft aboard ship, without the need for maintenance or logistics ashore.

4. Ongoing operations in the Mediterranean (Bulwark and Merlins) also show the value of aircraft capable of operating in the maritime environment.

5. HMS Queen Elizabeth has been named, floated, and is fitting out. The construction of HMS Prince Of Wales is also proceeding well.

6. The F-35B, despite the ill informed sniping of many, is also making good progress.

7. Recent MOD decision making has been flawed, as discussed here. The 2010 decision to axe Harrier and move from STOVL to CTOL and resulting debacle can perhaps be summed up as:

I thought it [the original intention to go for F-35B/STOVL] was largely by default, as in the early/mid 90's we were happily operating the Sea Harrier from the CVS. When JSF (I think it was originally called JAST - Joint Advanced Strike Technology) started to appear on the horizon the United States kindly invited the UK to participate.

RAF Harriers also operated from a CVS in the 90's, cementing the idea that operating STOVL aircraft would allow the rapid reinforcement of the carrier in a crisis. I believe there were studies which proved going CTOL would cause the RN all sorts of grief (extra manpower/training) as well as being problematic in terms of a non nuclear/non steam carrier having to supply catapults with steam, and of course the training burden for pilots would make a embarkation of RAF units in a crisis tricky.

Then from 2002 onwards things went awry, we lost Sea Harrier, so there were less jets to embark, the Harrier force was committed to Afghanistan, and so on. Then in 2009 the Harrier force left Afghanistan, and the plan (I heard a briefing by the FAA Command Warrant Officer that the future would involve getting more jets to sea for longer periods) to ramp up the skills needed by the ship's company as well as the squadron.

Then in 2010, the Prime Minister listened to the wrong people, decided that it was necessary to cut RN/RAF capabilities as Army personnel numbers would be too politically sensitive. A decision was made to cut an aircraft type - either Harrier or Tornado. As the smaller force, and the one not committed to Afghanistan, Harrier got the chop. The First Sea Lord and others tried to point out the training and skills issues, but to no avail. An attempt to keep a small number of Harriers was rejected.

As part of the jam tomorrow policy, CVF was switched to F-35C, possibly as it could be presented as a capability increase. I sometimes wonder if the anchor faced old gits on various forums that demanded "CTOL or nothing" helped contribute to this. This ignored the training/skills issue, or the additional manpower needed. Meanwhile somebody decided that practicing V/STOL embarkations would do nothing to prepare for a CTOL future (surely moving a jet on a moving deck, or getting the right wind over the deck is the same?), which was used to help justify the decision and to foil the attempts of the First Sea Lord to resolve the skills issue. The meeting that made these decisions lasted about twenty minutes.

The First Sea Lord, and other SMEs, were ignored. Then in 2012 we went back to F-35B. Despite having claimed that CTOL and V/STOL skill sets are completely different, there are still RN personnel about US carriers doing CTOL stuff. A lot of effort is still going into (other) measures to prepare people for having jets on deck again - some things are not public, and I do not know.

So the real question is why did ANYONE think that ripping up a decade of planning, and opting for a CTOL future after a decade of having no jets at sea, was a good idea?

A number of things come to my simple mind - which apply to more poor decision making in Defence:

a. Refusal to listen to SMEs. The First Sea Lord was a former CVS Captain, other experts existed in NCHQ, MOD, and DSTL. Were there views sought?
b. Refusal to learn lessons from elsewhere. Were other carrier operating Navies asked an opinion regarding the skills issue?
c. No System thinking. When a number of interconnected parts interact with each other and rely on each other, major changes to any single part has wide ranging effects.
d. Fast decision making - complex decisions cannot be made fast, as they are driven my emotion and not reason.
e. No peer review - if say a paper proposing a move to CTOL after a jet less decade had been circulated to a number of people who had been Cdr(Air) aboard a CVS, the issue of skill loss would have been made plain, as would things like whole ship aspects.
f. No PDCA. If before an announcement, the proposal was investigated from a "what are the implications?" viewpoint then decision making would be better.


8. We are where we are - so what decisions can/should the Government make to help us regenerate the carrier capability? Im am thinking in particular about developing aviation awareness and whole ship (aviation related) skills, and core maritime skills amongst FAA personnel now needing to be reacquainted with the shipboard environment?
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Old 18th May 2015, 08:13
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6. The F-35B, despite the ill informed sniping of many, is also making good progress.
Define 'good progress'..
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Old 18th May 2015, 08:26
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Hempy

Yes, that's where I stopped reading too.......


WEBF

I have pretty much zero personal knowledge of the JSF programme or jet programmes in general, but many of the snipers do.

I'm willing to believe that the JSF is anything from awesome to awful, but with absolutely zero aviation or frankly naval background to inform your decision, perhaps you would like to moderate your tone.

Last edited by Tourist; 18th May 2015 at 14:21.
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Old 18th May 2015, 08:44
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I susoect someone who doesn't uunderstand ship building saw the blurb on the CVF design that said it was designed for CTOL or STOVL operations and assumed that was a switchable option at minimal cost.
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Old 18th May 2015, 09:02
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Is nothing happening in Ukraine any more and does it have a seaside as well?
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Old 18th May 2015, 09:13
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Is nothing happening in Ukraine any more and does it have a seaside as well?
Oh yes - heavily occupied by a major Russian fleet and nuclear armed air force.
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Old 18th May 2015, 09:27
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Oh yes - heavily occupied by a major Russian fleet and nuclear armed air force.
It wouldn't have happened if we had Sea Harrier
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Old 18th May 2015, 09:29
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During the 2010 SDSR there was huge economic pressure on pretty much everything and look what happened. It would be tempting to think the considerable economic recovery in the UK would ease pressure on the defence budget. Also there is some appetite to maintain the 2% of GDP figure.

However, having failed to clear the deficit as promised, the Government will be feeling the need to make sure they do it this time round. Furthermore, the definition of the 2% "pledge" has been somewhat blurred, which leads me to suspect that there may be a plot to "dip below 2%" for a period and then rebuild NATO commitment when the economic situation is better - the rebuild promise is one that may never have to be honoured, like all long term political promises.

All that leads me to wonder if we should expect a pretty tough SDSR. And when politicians start looking at tough decisions nothing is off the table - except education and overseas aid, obviously!

So, anything that was said about two carriers and their various aircraft before the election will certainly be under review now... ...again!

The Generals, Admirals and Air Ranks will grumble, but then carry on with business as usual, I expect.

I may have this completely wrong. We may see a real term increase in defence spending and proper funding levels for the programmes. But then, maybe not.
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Old 18th May 2015, 12:01
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6. The F-35B, despite the ill informed sniping of many, is also making good progress.
Perhaps the honourable member needs to address this issue first.

Meanwhile back on dry land..

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-32776198

"Ukraine's military says its forces have captured two Russian soldiers fighting with rebels in eastern Ukraine.
The troops were seized in the town of Shchastya, near the line of separation.
A video emerged apparently showing one of the soldiers - which it said were members of Russia's elite special forces - saying during questioning that he was a sergeant from the central Russian city of Togliatti."

Last edited by glad rag; 18th May 2015 at 12:30. Reason: updated info.
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Old 18th May 2015, 12:05
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Originally Posted by Courtney Mil

However, having failed to clear the deficit as promised, the Government will be feeling the need to make sure they do it this time round. Furthermore, the definition of the 2% "pledge" has been somewhat blurred, which leads me to suspect that there may be a plot to "dip below 2%" for a period and then rebuild NATO commitment when the economic situation is better - the rebuild promise is one that may never have to be honoured, like all long term political promises.

.
Courts, I believe the cg sorry cunning plan from the treasury to include the AFP into the defence "budget" will see the 2% maintained.
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Old 18th May 2015, 12:38
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Originally Posted by glad rag
"Ukraine's military says its forces have captured two Russian soldiers fighting with rebels in eastern Ukraine.
The troops were seized in the town of Shchastya, near the line of separation.
A video emerged apparently showing one of the soldiers - which it said were members of Russia's elite special forces - saying during questioning that he was a sergeant from the central Russian city of Togliatti."
The only surprising thing about any of that is that he actually admitted it. Poor RTI training obviously.

Vlad would not be pleased..
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Old 18th May 2015, 12:47
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Hang on though. WEBF does have one point, 35C has autoland coming, right? what about the B??
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Old 18th May 2015, 12:50
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WEBF means to say that the project has stayed on its nominal schedule for almost two WHOLE YEARS.
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Old 18th May 2015, 15:50
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Originally Posted by glad rag
Hang on though. WEBF does have one point, 35C has autoland coming, right? what about the B??
NOOOO! I tried to have a discussion around that very subject with the Australian bloke that has all of 600 hours on A4s (45 years ago) and is now the world expert on modern carrier ops. If you post stuff like that, he'll come back!
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Old 18th May 2015, 16:08
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LBJ is the third of the Zumwalt class (USS Lyndon B. Johnson (DDG-1002) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia).
Heh heh heh, a Johnson full of Seamen.
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Old 18th May 2015, 17:10
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Originally Posted by glad rag
Hang on though. WEBF does have one point, 35C has autoland coming, right? what about the B??
Correct me if I am wrong, but autoland is for CTOL aircraft landing on an angled deck. Why would a STOVL aircraft need it?

Anyway: We are where we are - so what decisions can/should the Government make to help us regenerate the carrier capability? I am thinking particularly of things such whole ship (aviation related) skills, and core maritime skills amongst FAA personnel now needing to be reacquainted with the shipboard environment?

Last edited by WE Branch Fanatic; 18th May 2015 at 17:22.
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Old 18th May 2015, 17:20
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Perhaps you need to check how the 'VL' component of you STOVL is traveling before asking that question.

Just sayin'
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