BHD LGW must be Flybe's busiest route in terms of passenger number and up there in terms of high frequency. The route carries in excess of 20K Pax per month. The connectivity with other carriers at LGW is significant. Interesting to note that when FR arrived and were carrying up to and over 30K pax some months on STN BHD, BE contined to grow the route in single digit % points. Not a bad achievement.
So if BE are giving up LGW (CANT SEE IT), due to EI arrival, the message is to EI, we cannot compete, so come into BHD and take over any route you want. BE will fight the fight on this route, to safeguard the rest of the BHD operation.
BE will give frequency and are very well established. EI will do ok numbers wise as it will be price driven. I would suggest that anything EI gain will be transfers from LHR and EZY from BFS, though EZY wont be shy about keeping the pressure on.
I had meant to also say, given that there are rumours about LCY and BE in the same statement, do we need to be wondering about Cityjet? Would this be an airline that BE would wish to purchase, assuming AF in the mood for selling and strategic options being assessed including 'sell'?
With the current rumours that BE management have been visiting BFS, could BHD really survive without them? Correct me if I'm wrong but i don't think EI and EIR have enough aircraft/ right size of aircraft to cover BEs network from Belfast
Agreed that EI/EIR probably wouldn't have enough aircraft or the right mix to take over all or most of BE's routes - however, what about BA or even BACF. Now that BA are at BHD, they are probably looking at developing their presence there - what better way to do that than maybe looking at key routes such as MAN, BHX and GLA, for instance.
All this is speculation anyway until Flybe make some announcement if it is their intention to move.
BFS BHD I'm not going to argue you clearly know all. But with the big plans that EI and EIR have for BHD some one has to lose, there isn't room for them both. I could be completely wrong but EI have obviously been enticed down by a good deal, a deal I recon that is far better than what BE have
BA are at BHD, they are probably looking at developing their presence there - what better way to do that than maybe looking at key routes such as MAN, BHX and GLA, for instance.
Fundamentally wrong and against BA's stated aims and business model. There are three parts. 1) Feed long haul LHR from short haul 2) Maintain long haul LGW in profit and sort out short haul or close 3) Feed IB long haul at MAD from London
Regional point to point flying is most certainly NOT in there. BA CityFlyer is niche and point to point London focussed, and not part of mainline BA. Regional routes proved unsustainable and unprofitable for BA and were all closed less than five years ago in a sell off to flybe.