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Old 15th Aug 2012, 09:31   #1361 (permalink)
 
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Location: Solihull
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Monarch/Air France

chinapattern

Did they pick up on the fact it was also tech yesterday as well? Monarch sorted that one by combining the two Palma's on an A300, which did result in the first lot of pax suffering a seven hour delay. A bit of a surprise if you expected a 734 and an A300 turns up!

Air France

The evening CRJ1000 flight in winter is showing as an A319 Monday to Saturday and the Saturday morning AF2064/5 is also showing as an A319.

No surprise considering load factor was a staggering 87% in July - me thinks they have picked up some BMI Baby EMA-CDG pax not like EDI & GLA.

Pete
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Old 15th Aug 2012, 13:12   #1362 (permalink)
 
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July Route Analysis International schedule

Monthly figures provided by the CAA, the average pax per a BHX blog and libhomeradar with load factors estimated based on airline configs.

In general the reduction in business route frequencies has helped with load factors such as CPH, BRU & DUS. AMS & CDG have been affected by BMI Baby route closures in the Midlands.

Berlin looks pretty good for a new route as does Rome. Milan has too much capacity but 61% is not too bad. Turkish continues its improvement with several A321's in July.

Long-haul was affected to the East by Ramadan but EK was not that bad despite the heaviest % decrease of all UK airports. PIA was very low.

Turkmen was down passenger wise but load factors held due to the 737.

BRUSSELS/7292(8592)/43 PAX/54%
LARNACA/8160(5595)/185 PAX/94%
PAPHOS/4887(3018)/188 PAX/93%
COPENHAGEN/4347(5126)/68 PAX/73%
AVIGNON/838(785)/42 PAX 40%
BERGERAC/1089(1966)/45 PAX/56%
BREST/973(1460)/61/68%
LA ROCHELLE/905(1324)/50 PAX/65%
LYON/NIL(2975)
MONTPELLIER/2665(4645)/148 PAX/78%
NICE/9084(6859)/111/74%
PARIS/34294(27966)/99 PAX/87%
PERPIGNAN/728(NIL)/46 PAX/58%
BERLIN TXL/6617(NIL)/107/77%
DUSSELDORF/14757(14755)/47 PAX/55%
FRANKFURT/26081(27948)/105 PAX/66%
HAMBURG/4324(3179)/42 PAX/52%
HANOVER/5681(5716)/57 PAX/73%
MUNICH/15936(14963)/86 PAX/70%
STUTTGART/3022(3376)/34 PAX/43%
HERAKLION/3066(NIL)/170 PAX/87%
CORK/7415(7259)/49 PAX/69%
DUBLIN/45257(48215)/132 PAX/72%
KNOCK/3243(4257)/52 PAX/79%
SHANNON/2857(3368)/46 PAX/70%
WATERFORD/1336(1361)/37 PAX/52%
MILAN/8071(5652)/119 PAX/61%
ROME FCO/11757(NIL)/140 PAX/83%
VENICE/5006(NIL)/139 PAX/80%
TRIESTE/2405(2876)/134 PAX/71%
MALTA/3088(2950)/172 PAX/91%
AMSTERDAM/33891(43202)/92 PAX/80%
FARO/22736(21028)/170 PAX/90%
LISBON/2280(NIL)/127 PAX/85%
ALICANTE/30760(25763)/164 PAX/90%
ALMERIA/3666(3051)/204 PAX/95%
ARCELONA/6186(NIL)/124 PAX/78%
GIRONA/5961(4575)/166 PAX/88%
IBIZA/13683(10901)/185 PAX/96%
MAHON/6911(6867)/203 PAX/95%
MALAGA/37198(32382)/168 PAX/92%
MURCIA/10433(10353)/149 PAX/88%
PALMA/28948(22493)/159 PAX/89%
REUS/4105(4163)/158 PAX/84%
ARRECIFE/11415(9139)/184 PAX/93%
FUERTEVENTURA/8357(6264)/190 PAX/97%
LAS PALMAS/8349(6262)/190 PAX/97%
TENERIFE/16096(15441)/183 PAX/90%
GOTHENBURG/NIL(312)
DUBROVNIK/3231(990)/115 PAX/80%
ZURICH/13574(14349)/73 PAX/74%
BODRUM/4161(3131)/160 PAX/92%
ISTANBUL/8365(5252)/135 PAX/81%
DALAMAN/10969(6202)/189 PAX/92%
PRAGUE/3486(NIL)/125 PAX/85%
BUDAPEST/2676(NIL)167 PAX/88%
KAUNAS/3098(3163)/172 PAX/91%
BYDGOSZCZ/4562(4647)/175 PAX/93%
GDANSK/3135(3258)/174 PAX/92%
KATOWICE/4437(3239)/171 PAX/90%
RZESNOW/3181(3289)/177 PAX/94%
BRATISLAVA/4540(4664)/175PAX/92%
ASHKHABAD/4995(5479)/139 PAX/81%
YEREVAN ????????????????
DUBAI/38863(46390)/313 PAX/77%
ISLAMABAD/7966(8922)/221 PAX/64%
TORONTO/2675(2605)/334 PAX/98%
NEWARK/8955(8851)/145 PAX/86%

Pete
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Old 15th Aug 2012, 16:43   #1363 (permalink)
 
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Thanks,as usual, to OP.
Just an aside, as FR never have a full load of PAX due to loading/balance advice from Boeing and leave the 12 seats in rows 3 & 4 empty for take off and landing a full load of PAX would show up as 94%.
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Old 15th Aug 2012, 21:51   #1364 (permalink)
 
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Waterford LF has improved with the reduction from daily to 3/4 weekly.
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Old 16th Aug 2012, 09:36   #1365 (permalink)
 
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Thanks Flyboy for the techie answer.
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Old 16th Aug 2012, 13:28   #1366 (permalink)
 
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Considering the consistently high load factor to YYZ surely there is more potential BHX-Canada?
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Old 16th Aug 2012, 16:50   #1367 (permalink)
 
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Chinapattern,

YYZ hads hit 98% for past 3 years and still they won't add more flights.Canadian Affair have been bussing overflow from Birmingham to Manchester.

However at least we still have a flight, Cardiff and Newcastle have lost theirs.

Manchester see their capacity to YYZ down 10% next summer.An extra flight ,but most reduced from A330s to A310s.

However Sunwing will probably pick up the slack their with 767 flts.

Nigel
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Old 16th Aug 2012, 21:17   #1368 (permalink)
 
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Waterford & Hamburg

EI-A330-300 - I cheated a bit by using 50 seats for the days the F50 operated and it would have been a lower load factor if the Q400 operated.

Hamburg

Lufthansa are reducing the service in winter six weekly - Sunday-Friday only from 11 weekly this summer.

Departure time ex BHX is 14.45.

Flybe finish this route in a few weeks.

Pete
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Old 16th Aug 2012, 22:44   #1369 (permalink)
 
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Olton Pete
------------

You generally seem to be a man in the know, do you know how many aircraft Monarch intend to have based at Birmingham for this current winter??? November to end of March???

Thanks in advance for the info. Rgds.......
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Old 17th Aug 2012, 16:54   #1370 (permalink)
 
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4 Monarch based a/c for the winter
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Old 17th Aug 2012, 18:20   #1371 (permalink)
 
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Monarch winter

cloudy1

As TartinTon has said it now appears to be four although Thursday's show five morning departures.

The original release required six but there were several gaps which have been been filled by re-timing some flights and cutting rotations to Venice and Milan from four to three a week. The schedule will be something like this: -

Monday

1) AGP & ALC
2) MUC & LPA
3) MXP & FNC
4) TFS

Tuesday

1) VCE
2) FCO
3) TFS
4) SSH

Wednesday

1) TFS
2) LCA
3) FUE
4) MXP

Thursday

1) SSH
2) ACE
3) VCE MUC
4) FCO GNB from late Dec
5) FAO (I assume it will be FAO - ACE although not in November due BHX annual night closure)

Friday

1) TFS
2) FCO FNC
3) ALC MUC
4) AGP MXP

Saturday

1) MUC VCE
2) GNB ALC
3) AGP TFS
4) GVA IT I assume

Sunday

1) ALC ACE
2) FAO LCA
3) AGP TFS
4) GNB (VCE in Nov) FCO

Although Monarch filled the void in summer in respect of BMI Baby they have not in the lean period of winter. Baby operated 2 x ALC and 2 x AGP in winter and Monarch have kept the same frequencies, well actually ALC is reduced in November as it was six weekly.

They have also reduced TFS by two rotations in November, Arrecife, Las Palmas, Faro and Larnaca have also lost a frequency in November.

Whereas ryanair have been outspoken about the fee hike in the Canaries and mainland Spain, Monarch have just cut frequencies quietly.

Very disappointing that LPA is only one and ACE two a week and not even a daily Tenerife. At least there is a greater mix of destinations although it will be interesting to see how some of the routes perform.

TartinTon

Is the split 3 x 321 and 1 x 320? surely not 2 & 2 or 4 321's?

Pete
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Old 18th Aug 2012, 09:36   #1372 (permalink)
 
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OP....planned to be 3 x 321 and 1 x 320
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Old 18th Aug 2012, 09:52   #1373 (permalink)
 
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Winter 2012/3

Cheers TartinTon, pretty much as expected and fingers crossed for a decent winter although I would have liked them to have picked up Malta on the A320, as Ryanair seem to be wavering.

There is a long long history for this route in one way or another and the year-round FR passengers figures suggests that there is a market. Maybe not enough ancilliary income for Ryanair's liking.



Pete
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Old 18th Aug 2012, 14:13   #1374 (permalink)
 
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OP hows the FR schedule looking for the winter so far? Do you have enough info to do a list like you've done above for Monarch?
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Old 18th Aug 2012, 15:43   #1375 (permalink)
 
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Thank you Olton Pete for the detailed info and for the time it has taken you to put together. Thanks.
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Old 18th Aug 2012, 23:37   #1376 (permalink)
 
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Ryanair 2012/3

FlyboyUK

BHX based aircraft are shown below requiring three units. The Dublin in the morning is operated daily by a Dublin based aircraft. Arrecife on a Monday and Friday is operated from the Arrecife base and the weekly Las Palmas on a Sunday is operated from the LPA base.

There are gaps, some I would imagine were in case FUE/TFS/LPA/ACE were to be increased (fees dispute) and there was a rumour of Vilnius in place of Kaunas, which operated last winter. The big omission thus far is Malta although Gdansk has also operated year-round as well and is not bookable as yet.

Monday

1) FAO DUB LDY
2) ??? BCN
3) ??? DUB

Tuesday

1) BTS DUB RZE
2) AGP KTW DUB
3) BGY BZG

Wednesday

1) ALC DUB LDY
2) BUD BCN
3) KRK ???DUB

Thursday

1) TFS BZG
2) BGY PMI DUB
3) AGP DUB RZE

Friday

1) ALC DUB BCN
2) FAO LDY DUB
3) FUE

Saturday

1) BTS BGY BZG
2) AGP KTW DUB
3) BUD DUB ???

Sunday

1) ALC PMI DUB
2) KRK LDY RZE
3) TFS BCN

Pete
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Old 19th Aug 2012, 13:56   #1377 (permalink)
 
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Thanks OP
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Old 19th Aug 2012, 16:34   #1378 (permalink)
 
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If BHX truly has aspirations of growing and expanding their capacity, they need to have a look at how they deal with a number of flights arriving at the same time (not an uncommon occurrence I would think). Came back this lunch time to queues for immigration snaking down the corridor above arrivals, with the arrivals hall stuffed to the gills. Looked out the window to see pax off a flight queuing on the tarmac as they couldn't even get upstairs! There were half a dozen police downstairs keeping the peace which is rather telling...
Got into baggage reclaim to see every belt going, full of baggage which wasn't getting picked up as everyone was trapped in immigration! On my belt there were four flights worth of bags, so many in fact that they ended up blocking the belt in a massive heap!

Not a glowing endorsement for expansion...
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Old 20th Aug 2012, 13:20   #1379 (permalink)
 
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Immigration

I also arrived back on a Sunday lunch-time at around 13.15 and we were arrival number 10 or 11 of 20 plus in just over one hour including Emirates.

It was an amazing sight to see and although far from perfect the airport on this occasion coped well.

They did block off the escalators and held pax in the pier but all immigration stations were manned and the e-gates were all operational.

I had about 10-15 minute wait in the queue (two children in tow) but on the upside despite arriving at the carosel to see it shared with three other Monarch flights the bags arrived within 5 minutes.

From touchdown (13.07 I think) to meeting our pick-up it was about 35-40 minutes, which I thought was fantastic considering.

If you look at the BHX movements over a week the Sunday lunch period is just one of those freak periods when most of the based aircraft get back (plus EK, KL, LX, AF) at around the same time.

As I walked out of arrivals having already viewed the 50 and 60 stands and now seeing the 40's and old T2 packed with aircraft, I felt amazed that my old little airport which barely had a couple flights an hour in high summer in the past had reached these levels.

There will always be a down-side and if you think arrivals are bad how will the new security area cope with any further in flux of early departures.

PK insists BHX can double capacity with what it has now and I assume that there is a plan, as I doubt the current terminal could cope with the current peaks and troughs. Evened out of 12 months then there would be little problem but that is unlikely ever to happen at BHX.

Pete
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Old 21st Aug 2012, 08:13   #1380 (permalink)
 
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Immigration

OP - you were lucky that the e-gates were working. I come back into BHX most Sundays, but usually later in the afternoon. The e-gates are only switched on about 20% of the time. In fact, they usually wait for a queue to build up in the holding area before they switch the gates on. There seems to be a willful disregard by the UKBA staff at BHX for any new technology which would help the travelling public. They seem to go out of their way not to use the e-gates and IRIS before that.
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