In October Mrs H and I were at the Cheltenham Bookfest - there was a round-table discussion chaired by Lt. Gen Ben Hodges, Commander US Army Europe, He was very impressive - and very thoughtful.
In reply to a question on the Baltic he said he wasn't too worried - the threat was "known" and actions were underway. He worried much more about the Caucasus (especially Turkey/Russia), and the Black Sea - Moldova/Romania/Ukraine.
"There is no obvious threat but there is instability and that's when things can get out of control real fast"