I'd say 'no overfilled fuel tanks, no accident', as well, even with the tyre disintegration.
Did the fuel tanks were overfilled when the Washington event happens (big leak of fuel .. multiple important holes)

And why no fire ?
Maybe it can be considered that for Gonesse .. it was some hot post for igniting the fuel (other than engines) .. and this can drive again to a problem with the gear (spacer) ?
Note that this particular plane (Washington event) was considered beyond repair
Ironically the replacement plane was the plane who crashed at Gonesse ....