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When the situation has stabilized, then the progress for T&C improvement can be started.
And when the time comes, who will do the negotiating ? The ERC's ? With their past track record ?! What resources do they have compared to BALPA ?
If the recognition vote fails and BALPA are locked out for another 3 years, then I guess it will have to be ........
What a depressing thought.
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That is a fair point.
However, does anyone realistically see that this industry will be more stable and at a point that flight crews will be in a positive position in the next 36 months ?
Likely not.
Even with the best will, a change of UK government tomorrow with an improvement in fiscal policy and more aviation industry beneficial legislation (eg APD increases) and leveling off of oil prices (the situation in Iran is having an effect on oil price increases and OPEC are looking to reduce production to push prices back up) we would see stability in about six months, with implementation of carrier investment about another 6-12 months after that, with the absorption of currently available crews perhaps 6-12 months after that.
And that is with the best will in the world; we would see the position for pilots to start looking for better T&C's in 2 and a half years.
When FR face the loss of FR employed crews to other operators over better T&C's and the Brookfield guys move to carriers where they are employed, FR will face crewing problems and T&C's will improve subsequently.