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West Coast · 13th October 2008, 06:38

GF

Nothing would make me happier than you telling me I told you so come election day.

I do agree it will be a close election, at least in the popular vote. Even with the (capt)Kaos in the market, the sizeable lead one might expect of Obama isn't there.
As far as a black backlash, yeah there's no denying it exists to some limited extent. However I don't think the social predicate is in place that allowed elections being tipped based on the color of ones skin as happened in the past. Even if it does, it's likely to be offset by black voters flocking to BO because he's (half) black. Along those lines, how many blacks never would have even registered to vote (thanks ACORN, now they and the family pets can vote) if the Dem's ran Joe Biden on the top of the ticket? One fringe element will cancel out another one. Blacks have also made major inroads in the past decades in politics, hell I find it curious when I see a Mayor of a large city and he's a white guy. Have to check and see who replaced Kwami. Senators, Rep's, Guv's, Chairmen of the JCS, Sec of State, Speaker of the House (uggh) all held by other than white males. I've even seen a black QB throwing to a speedy white receiver.
The fact is BO has run against black, brown, white, male, female, in local races and on the national stage the past few months to few years and has won. I also know Republicans suffer from a negative brand image that pushes Obama's star artificially higher.
I think voters will go in the booth and do a gut check and vote with that in mind.

13th October 2008, 06:38	#3655 (permalink)
West Coast Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: surfing, watching for sharks Posts: 1,771	GF Nothing would make me happier than you telling me I told you so come election day. I do agree it will be a close election, at least in the popular vote. Even with the (capt)Kaos in the market, the sizeable lead one might expect of Obama isn't there. As far as a black backlash, yeah there's no denying it exists to some limited extent. However I don't think the social predicate is in place that allowed elections being tipped based on the color of ones skin as happened in the past. Even if it does, it's likely to be offset by black voters flocking to BO because he's (half) black. Along those lines, how many blacks never would have even registered to vote (thanks ACORN, now they and the family pets can vote) if the Dem's ran Joe Biden on the top of the ticket? One fringe element will cancel out another one. Blacks have also made major inroads in the past decades in politics, hell I find it curious when I see a Mayor of a large city and he's a white guy. Have to check and see who replaced Kwami. Senators, Rep's, Guv's, Chairmen of the JCS, Sec of State, Speaker of the House (uggh) all held by other than white males. I've even seen a black QB throwing to a speedy white receiver. The fact is BO has run against black, brown, white, male, female, in local races and on the national stage the past few months to few years and has won. I also know Republicans suffer from a negative brand image that pushes Obama's star artificially higher. I think voters will go in the booth and do a gut check and vote with that in mind. Last edited by West Coast : 13th October 2008 at 07:19.