Smith, a shortage of experienced pilots exists occasionally because there are more jobs for them than there are pilots willing to move. There has bever been a situation in commercial aviation where there are more beginners' jobs available than people willing and qualified to take them. There never will be, either.
Certainly jobs further up the food chain allow people to get on at the bottom rung, but the numbers involved do not presage a shortage in any way, shape or form!
Scroggs